Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 26/07, 19:00
Prediction: CSD Amatitlan vs Chichicasteco FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
CSD Amatitlan1.46
Chichicasteco FC1.09
1X2
CSD Amatitlan
Draw
Chichicasteco FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Amatitlan
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Chichicasteco FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Amatitlan 1548 · Chichicasteco FC 1469
| CSD Amatitlan | Draw | Chichicasteco FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Amatitlan (rating 1548 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSD Amatitlan | Chichicasteco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/25/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.1 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0 |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguacatan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chichicasteco FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSD Amatitlan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Coatepeque FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Gomerano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Iztapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huehuetecos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventud Copalera | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Quiche FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Amatitlan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Tacana Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 6 | D |
| 01/04 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | AFF Guatemala II Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 25/03 | Champs Academy Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 22/03 | CF USAC Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 08/03 | Puerto San Jose Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/03 | Deportivo Patutul Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 22/02 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 19/02 | Escuintla FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
Chichicasteco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/03 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Amatitlan vs Chichicasteco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Amatitlan win (45%). Probabilities: CSD Amatitlan 45%, draw 28%, Chichicasteco FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in CSD Amatitlan vs Chichicasteco FC?
The model expects 2.56 goals (CSD Amatitlan 1.46 · Chichicasteco FC 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSD Amatitlan vs Chichicasteco FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.