Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 02/08, 19:00
Prediction: Deportivo Fraijanes vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Team pages: Deportivo Fraijanes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Deportivo Fraijanes1.58
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1.37
1X2
Deportivo Fraijanes
Draw
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Fraijanes
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Fraijanes
0–1
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
(1 last)
- Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1-0Deportivo Fraijanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Fraijanes 1597 · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1510
| Deportivo Fraijanes | Draw | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Fraijanes (rating 1597 vs 1510).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Fraijanes | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.1 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.8 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Fraijanes 0–0–1 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/25 Guatemala Segunda Division | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Fraijanes |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | CSD Sayaxche | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Mictlán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Benito FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AFF Guatemala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | CD Achuapa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Patutul Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Barillas FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/04 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Draco FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Puerto San Jose Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 11/03 | Escuintla FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/04 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Chimaltenango FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | CSD Ipala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Fraijanes vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Fraijanes win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Fraijanes 41%, draw 27%, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 32%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Fraijanes vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Deportivo Fraijanes 1.58 · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1.37), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Fraijanes vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.