Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 02/08, 19:00
Prediction: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC
Team pages: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa1.97
Quiche FC1.13
1X2
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
Draw
Quiche FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Quiche FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
3–1–2
Quiche FC
(6 last)
- Quiche FC4-1Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa3-0Quiche FC
- Quiche FC1-0Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa4-1Quiche FC
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa0-0Quiche FC
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa1-0Quiche FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1501 · Quiche FC 1488
| Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | Draw | Quiche FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 13.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | Quiche FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.5 | 2 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.9 | 8.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 3–1–2 Quiche FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Quiche FC | 4-1 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa |
| 06/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 3-0 | Quiche FC |
| 21/04/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Quiche FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa |
| 25/02/24 Guatemala Primera Division | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Quiche FC |
| 23/08/23 Guatemala Primera Division | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Quiche FC |
| 10/03/19 Guatemala Primera Division | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Quiche FC |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Iztapa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Aguacatan FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CSD Amatitlan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Deportivo Gomerano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Juventud Copalera | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Quiche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Huehuetecos FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Chichicasteco FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Coatepeque FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa | Quiche FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Gomerano | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Suchitepequez | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 17/04 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Carcha Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Chimaltenango FC Guatemala Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 30/03 | CSD Ipala Guatemala Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/03 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 11/03 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Quiche FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Nueva Concepcion Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/03 | Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 22/03 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 12/03 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/03 | Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/03 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa win (56%). Probabilities: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 56%, draw 24%, Quiche FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1.97 · Quiche FC 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.