Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 02/08, 19:00
Prediction: Mictlán vs CD Achuapa
Team pages: CD Achuapa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Mictlán1.71
CD Achuapa0.93
1X2
Mictlán
Draw
CD Achuapa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mictlán
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CD Achuapa
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mictlán
2–4
CD Achuapa
(6 last)
- CD Achuapa0-2Mictlán
- Mictlán0-1CD Achuapa
- CD Achuapa1-0Mictlán
- Mictlán1-0CD Achuapa
- Mictlán0-1CD Achuapa
- Mictlán0-1CD Achuapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mictlán 1469 · CD Achuapa 1429
| Mictlán | Draw | CD Achuapa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mictlán (rating 1469 vs 1429).
- H2H favours CD Achuapa: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mictlán | CD Achuapa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mictlán 2–0–4 CD Achuapa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CD Achuapa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Mictlán |
| 02/02/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Mictlán | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CD Achuapa |
| 16/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CD Achuapa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mictlán |
| 14/09/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Mictlán | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Achuapa |
| 07/01/24 Club Friendly List | Mictlán | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CD Achuapa |
| 23/07/23 Club Friendly List | Mictlán | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Achuapa |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | CSD Sayaxche | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Mictlán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | San Benito FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AFF Guatemala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | CD Achuapa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mictlán | CD Achuapa |
|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Xelaju | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Mixco | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Antigua GFC | 2-8 L | 2-2 D |
| Coban Imperial | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Malacateco | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Guastatoya | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mictlán (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mictlán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 02/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-6 | 2-8 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/03 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
CD Achuapa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Mictlán Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mictlán vs CD Achuapa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mictlán win (55%). Probabilities: Mictlán 55%, draw 25%, CD Achuapa 20%.
How many goals are expected in Mictlán vs CD Achuapa?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Mictlán 1.71 · CD Achuapa 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mictlán vs CD Achuapa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.