Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 12/08, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Fraijanes vs AFF Guatemala
Team pages: Deportivo Fraijanes · AFF Guatemala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Deportivo Fraijanes2.05
AFF Guatemala0.75
1X2
Deportivo Fraijanes
Draw
AFF Guatemala
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Fraijanes
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
AFF Guatemala
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Fraijanes
3–0
AFF Guatemala
(3 last)
- Deportivo Fraijanes5-0AFF Guatemala
- AFF Guatemala0-2Deportivo Fraijanes
- AFF Guatemala0-1Deportivo Fraijanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Fraijanes 1576 · AFF Guatemala 1449
| Deportivo Fraijanes | Draw | AFF Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Fraijanes (rating 1576 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Deportivo Fraijanes: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Fraijanes | AFF Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.8 | 1.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.7 | 4.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Fraijanes 3–0–0 AFF Guatemala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/23 Guatemala Segunda Division | Deportivo Fraijanes | 5-0 HT 4-0 | AFF Guatemala |
| 16/02/23 Guatemala Segunda Division | AFF Guatemala | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Fraijanes |
| 03/10/22 Guatemala Segunda Division | AFF Guatemala | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Fraijanes |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | CSD Sayaxche | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Mictlán | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | AFF Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | CD Achuapa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Champs Academy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 | San Benito FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/05 | Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Patutul Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Barillas FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/04 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Draco FC Guatemala Segunda Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
AFF Guatemala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 26/03 | Deportivo Carcha Guatemala Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Fraijanes vs AFF Guatemala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Fraijanes win (66%). Probabilities: Deportivo Fraijanes 66%, draw 22%, AFF Guatemala 11%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Fraijanes vs AFF Guatemala?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Deportivo Fraijanes 2.05 · AFF Guatemala 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Fraijanes vs AFF Guatemala?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.