Prediction: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Coatepeque FC

Team pages: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa · Coatepeque FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa1.57
Coatepeque FC1.06
1X2
48% 26% 25%
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Draw Coatepeque FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
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Coatepeque FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1485 · Coatepeque FC 1502
Santa Lucia CotzumalguapaDrawCoatepeque FC
Our model48%28%25%
Market49%26%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Lucia CotzumalguapaCoatepeque FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.91.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.10.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.62.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.63.7 / 0.3

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Quiche FC 5311 5510
2 Huehuetecos FC 5302 1149
3 Aguacatan FC 5302 639
4 Deportivo Iztapa 5221 868
5 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 5212 777
6 Deportivo Gomerano 5212 577
7 Coatepeque FC 4202 346
8 Juventud Copalera 5122 435
9 Chichicasteco FC 4112 494
10 CSD Amatitlan 5104 383

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Lucia CotzumalguapaCoatepeque FC
Aguacatan FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
CSD Amatitlan 2-0 W 1-0 W
Huehuetecos FC 0-3 L 3-1 W
Quiche FC 3-0 W 1-2 L
Deportivo Gomerano 2-2 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Aguacatan FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-2 L
12/08 CSD Amatitlan
Guatemala Primera Division
2-0 W
10/08 Huehuetecos FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-1 0-3 23 L
02/08 Quiche FC
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 3-0 57 W
26/07 Deportivo Gomerano
Guatemala Primera Division
1-1 2-2 27 D
20/04 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Primera Division
0-2 1-2 49 L
17/04 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Primera Division
1-1 3-2 910 W
12/04 Deportivo Carcha
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 1-0 83 W
05/04 Chimaltenango FC
Guatemala Primera Division
2-2 3-3 115 D
30/03 CSD Ipala
Guatemala Primera Division
1-2 1-5 44 L

Coatepeque FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 CSD Amatitlan
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 1-0 144 W
13/08 Quiche FC
Guatemala Primera Division
1-2 L
09/08 Juventud Copalera
Guatemala Primera Division
1-0 1-0 46 W
26/07 Aguacatan FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-1 0-2 26 L
26/04 Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Primera Division
0-1 0-4 30 L
22/04 Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Primera Division
0-0 0-0 13 D
19/04 San Benito FC
Guatemala Primera Division
0-2 L
15/04 San Benito FC
Guatemala Primera Division
3-0 3-0 33 W
12/04 Huehuetecos FC
Guatemala Primera Division
3-1 W
05/04 Deportivo Gomerano
Guatemala Primera Division
1-1 2-1 96 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Coatepeque FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa win (48%). Probabilities: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 48%, draw 26%, Coatepeque FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Coatepeque FC?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1.57 · Coatepeque FC 1.06), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Coatepeque FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.