Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 20/08, 03:00
Prediction: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs AFF Guatemala
Team pages: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF · AFF Guatemala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1.71
AFF Guatemala0.72
1X2
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Draw
AFF Guatemala
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
AFF Guatemala
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
1–3–2
AFF Guatemala
(6 last)
- AFF Guatemala2-1Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
- Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1-1AFF Guatemala
- Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1-0AFF Guatemala
- AFF Guatemala3-1Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
- AFF Guatemala0-0Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
- AFF Guatemala1-1Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1464 · AFF Guatemala 1458
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | Draw | AFF Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AFF Guatemala: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | AFF Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1–3–2 AFF Guatemala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Guatemala Primera Division | AFF Guatemala | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF |
| 31/01/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AFF Guatemala |
| 01/10/25 Guatemala Primera Division | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AFF Guatemala |
| 17/08/25 Guatemala Primera Division | AFF Guatemala | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF |
| 05/05/24 Guatemala Segunda Division | AFF Guatemala | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF |
| 31/08/23 Guatemala Segunda Division | AFF Guatemala | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Mictlán | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | CSD Sayaxche | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | San Benito FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | AFF Guatemala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | CD Achuapa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | AFF Guatemala |
|---|---|---|
| CD Achuapa | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Fraijanes | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Champs Academy | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/08 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
AFF Guatemala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 12/08 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs AFF Guatemala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Santa Rosa CDF win (60%). Probabilities: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 60%, draw 25%, AFF Guatemala 15%.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs AFF Guatemala?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1.71 · AFF Guatemala 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs AFF Guatemala?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.