Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 19/08, 23:00

Prediction: Deportivo Fraijanes vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Team pages: Deportivo Fraijanes · CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Deportivo Fraijanes1.42

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.05

1X2

45% 29% 27%

Deportivo Fraijanes Draw CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Fraijanes 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWDLL

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Fraijanes 0–1–2 CS Deportivo Sacachispas (3 last)

CS Deportivo Sacachispas4-1Deportivo Fraijanes
Deportivo Fraijanes0-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Deportivo Fraijanes0-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Fraijanes 1533 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1513

	Deportivo Fraijanes	Draw	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas: 2-1-0.
High corners: 15.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Fraijanes	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.8	3.7 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.9	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:31 +15’	2.00	3.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Fraijanes 0–1–2 CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	4-1 HT 2-0	Deportivo Fraijanes
13/01/24 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Fraijanes	0-0 HT 0-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
10/09/23 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Fraijanes	0-1 HT 0-1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	5	3	1	1	12	3	10
2	CSD Chiquimulilla	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
3	Mictlán	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
4	CSD Sayaxche	5	2	2	1	8	3	8
5	Deportivo Fraijanes	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
6	San Benito FC	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
7	AFF Guatemala	5	2	0	3	4	6	6
7	CD Achuapa	5	2	0	3	4	6	6
9	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	5	2	0	3	6	10	6
10	Champs Academy	5	0	0	5	2	17	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Fraijanes	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
San Benito FC	2-3 L	5-0 W
AFF Guatemala	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CS Deportivo Sacachispas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Fraijanes

WWWLWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	8	L
09/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	10	7	W
26/07	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
31/05	Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division	3-1	4-1	2	2	W
23/05	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/05	Poptun FC Guatemala Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
03/05	Deportivo Patutul Guatemala Segunda Division	1-1	4-2	9	8	W
19/04	Barillas FC Guatemala Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	8	5	W

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

WLLLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W
13/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-3	1-3	6	4	L
09/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-0	14	8	D
02/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W
25/07	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	9	0	W
12/04	CSD Ipala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	11	4	W
05/04	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/03	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	11	5	L
26/03	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
22/03	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Fraijanes win (45%). Probabilities: Deportivo Fraijanes 45%, draw 29%, CS Deportivo Sacachispas 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Deportivo Fraijanes 1.42 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.