Football · El Salvador Apertura · 31/07, 02:00

Prediction: AD Isidro Metapan vs CD FAS

Team pages: AD Isidro Metapan · CD FAS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

AD Isidro Metapan1.34

CD FAS1.78

1X2

27% 26% 46%

AD Isidro Metapan Draw CD FAS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AD Isidro Metapan 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLLDW

CD FAS 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLWWWW

Head-to-head

AD Isidro Metapan 1–2–3 CD FAS (6 last)

AD Isidro Metapan0-3CD FAS
CD FAS2-2AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan2-3CD FAS
CD FAS1-0AD Isidro Metapan
AD Isidro Metapan3-1CD FAS
CD FAS0-0AD Isidro Metapan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Isidro Metapan 1449 · CD FAS 1600

	AD Isidro Metapan	Draw	CD FAS
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	27%	27%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD FAS (rating 1449 vs 1600).
H2H favours CD FAS: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Isidro Metapan	CD FAS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	4.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.30

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.39
2	2.10 → 1.95▼	Pinn 2.14 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +20’	3.00	3.25	2.10
22:15 +4’	3.30▲	3.30▲	1.95▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:19	3.04	3.39	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Isidro Metapan 1–2–3 CD FAS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	0-3 HT 0-3	CD FAS
18/01/26 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	2-2 HT 1-1	AD Isidro Metapan
21/09/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	2-3 HT 0-1	CD FAS
20/07/25 El Salvador Apertura	CD FAS	1-0 HT 1-0	AD Isidro Metapan
13/04/25 El Salvador Clausura	AD Isidro Metapan	3-1 HT 1-1	CD FAS
17/02/25 El Salvador Clausura	CD FAS	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Isidro Metapan

Standings · El Salvador Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Isidro Metapan	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
2	Alianza FC	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
2	CD FAS	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	CD Cacahuatique	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
5	CD Aguila	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Fuerte San Francisco	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	CD Luis Angel Firpo	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	CD Platense Zacatecoluca	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Internacional Santa Tecla	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	Atlético Balboa	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
11	CD INCA	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
11	Municipal Limeno	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Isidro Metapan	CD FAS
CD Cacahuatique	4-2 W	1-1 D
CD Luis Angel Firpo	1-1 D	3-0 W
CD Platense Zacatecoluca	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD FAS (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AD Isidro Metapan

LDWLDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Apertura	0-1	4-2	4	3	W
10/05	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
07/05	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
01/05	CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
26/04	Fuerte San Francisco El Salvador Clausura	0-2	1-3	7	8	L
22/04	Alianza FC El Salvador Cup	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
19/04	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
16/04	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
12/04	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/04	Alianza FC El Salvador Cup	0-2	1-3	7	8	L

CD FAS

WDWDDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Apertura	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
19/07	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Super Cup	2-0	3-0	4	5	W
24/05	CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura	3-0	3-0	9	4	W
18/05	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura	1-0	2-0	13	6	W
15/05	Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
10/05	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura	1-0	1-1	4	12	D
07/05	CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-1	16	7	D
01/05	CD Platense Zacatecoluca El Salvador Clausura	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/04	CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
22/04	CD Dragon El Salvador Cup	2-0	4-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD FAS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD FAS win (46%). Probabilities: AD Isidro Metapan 27%, draw 26%, CD FAS 46%.

How many goals are expected in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD FAS?

The model expects 3.12 goals (AD Isidro Metapan 1.34 · CD FAS 1.78), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Isidro Metapan vs CD FAS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.