Football · El Salvador Apertura · 31/07, 04:00
Prediction: Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Aguila
Team pages: CD Aguila
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Internacional Santa Tecla1.24
CD Aguila1.25
1X2
Internacional Santa Tecla
Draw
CD Aguila
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional Santa Tecla
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CD Aguila
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional Santa Tecla
2–2
CD Aguila
(4 last)
- CD Aguila0-1Internacional Santa Tecla
- Internacional Santa Tecla0-1CD Aguila
- CD Aguila3-0Internacional Santa Tecla
- Internacional Santa Tecla2-0CD Aguila
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional Santa Tecla 1524 · CD Aguila 1523
| Internacional Santa Tecla | Draw | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional Santa Tecla | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.9 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional Santa Tecla 2–0–2 CD Aguila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 El Salvador Clausura | CD Aguila | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Internacional Santa Tecla |
| 22/02/26 El Salvador Clausura | Internacional Santa Tecla | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
| 05/11/25 El Salvador Apertura | CD Aguila | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Internacional Santa Tecla |
| 05/09/25 El Salvador Clausura | Internacional Santa Tecla | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CD Aguila |
Standings · El Salvador Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Isidro Metapan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | CD FAS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CD Cacahuatique | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Fuerte San Francisco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Luis Angel Firpo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Internacional Santa Tecla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Atlético Balboa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | CD INCA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Municipal Limeno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Atlético Balboa El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Municipal Limeno El Salvador Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | CD Aguila El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 12/04 | CD Hercules El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/04 | Zacatecoluca FC El Salvador Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | CD FAS El Salvador Clausura |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 10/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | Alianza FC El Salvador Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | CD Luis Angel Firpo El Salvador Clausura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | CD Cacahuatique El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | AD Izalco El Salvador Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Internacional Santa Tecla El Salvador Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Aguila?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Aguila win (36%). Probabilities: Internacional Santa Tecla 35%, draw 29%, CD Aguila 36%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Aguila?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Internacional Santa Tecla 1.24 · CD Aguila 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD Aguila?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.