Prediction: Catanzaro vs Mantova
Team pages: Catanzaro · Mantova
- Catanzaro2-0Mantova
- Mantova1-3Catanzaro
- Mantova0-0Catanzaro
- Catanzaro2-2Mantova
| Catanzaro | Draw | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mantova (rating 1488 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Catanzaro: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Catanzaro | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Catanzaro 2–2–0 Mantova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Italy Serie B | Catanzaro | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mantova |
| 29/10/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Catanzaro |
| 13/05/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Catanzaro |
| 23/11/24 Italy Serie B | Catanzaro | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Mantova |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Catanzaro | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Carrarese | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sudtirol | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Pisa | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Monza | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Avellino | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mantova (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Catanzaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Vicenza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Catanzaro win (41%). Probabilities: Catanzaro 41%, draw 28%, Mantova 31%.
How many goals are expected in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Catanzaro 1.67 · Mantova 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Catanzaro vs Mantova?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.