Football · Italy Serie B · 27/10, 20:00
Prediction: Padova vs Sudtirol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Padova1.23
Sudtirol1.03
1X2
Padova
Draw
Sudtirol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Padova
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sudtirol
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Padova
1–4–1
Sudtirol
(6 last)
- Sudtirol3-0Padova
- Padova1-1Sudtirol
- Sudtirol0-0Padova
- Sudtirol0-1Padova
- Padova0-0Sudtirol
- Padova0-0Sudtirol
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Padova | Sudtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Padova 1–4–1 Sudtirol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie B | Sudtirol | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Padova |
| 01/11/25 Italy Serie B | Padova | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sudtirol |
| 16/04/22 Italy Serie C Group A | Sudtirol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Padova |
| 06/04/22 Italy Serie C Cup | Sudtirol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Padova |
| 09/03/22 Italy Serie C Cup | Padova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sudtirol |
| 12/12/21 Italy Serie C Group A | Padova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sudtirol |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Pisa | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Benevento | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Padova | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Ascoli | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Padova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Verona Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Pisa Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Sudtirol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Ascoli Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Benevento Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Padova vs Sudtirol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Padova win (39%). Probabilities: Padova 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 30%.
How many goals are expected in Padova vs Sudtirol?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Padova 1.23 · Sudtirol 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Padova vs Sudtirol?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.