Football · Italy Serie B · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: Avellino vs Sampdoria

Team pages: Avellino · Sampdoria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Avellino1.3
Sampdoria1.32
1X2
35% 29% 36%
Avellino Draw Sampdoria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Avellino 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLLWWDL
Sampdoria 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDWLDLLLW
Head-to-head
Avellino 1–1 Sampdoria (2 last)
  • Sampdoria2-1Avellino
  • Avellino2-1Sampdoria
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avellino 1514 · Sampdoria 1475
AvellinoDrawSampdoria
Our model35%29%36%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AvellinoSampdoria
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 10.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.62.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.14.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Avellino 1–0–1 Sampdoria

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Italy Serie B
Sampdoria2-1
HT 0-0
Avellino
10/01/26
Italy Serie B
Avellino2-1
HT 1-0
Sampdoria

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 5410 10513
2 Sudtirol 5320 9311
3 Mantova 5320 10511
4 Modena 5311 8410
5 Ascoli 5311 7410
6 Verona 5212 1077
7 Cesena 5140 767
7 Avellino 5212 767
9 Benevento 5212 657
10 Pisa 5212 887
11 Padova 5212 567
12 Empoli 5203 466
13 Arezzo 5203 6136
14 Virtus Entella 5122 765
15 Cremonese 5122 575
16 Vicenza 5122 7105
17 Sampdoria 5113 594
18 Catanzaro 5104 593
19 Juve Stabia 5122 471
20 Carrarese 5014 261

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAvellinoSampdoria
Palermo 1-1 D 1-3 L
Catanzaro 0-3 L 2-1 W
Mantova 2-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Avellino (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avellino

WWLWLLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-3 14 L
13/09 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 43 D
06/09 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 25 W
29/08 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-0 27 W
22/08 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-2 44 L
12/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-3 51 L
08/05 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 62 W
01/05 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 25 L
24/04 Bari
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 84 W
18/04 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 21 W

Sampdoria

WLDWLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 48 W
13/09 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 53 L
07/09 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-2 1-3 55 L
29/08 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-2 24 L
23/08 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 –– D
08/05 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 93 L
01/05 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
25/04 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 54 D
17/04 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 83 L
11/04 Pescara
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avellino vs Sampdoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sampdoria win (36%). Probabilities: Avellino 35%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 36%.

How many goals are expected in Avellino vs Sampdoria?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Avellino 1.3 · Sampdoria 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Avellino vs Sampdoria?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.