Prediction: Empoli vs Palermo
- Palermo3-2Empoli
- Empoli1-3Palermo
- Empoli4-0Palermo
- Palermo3-3Empoli
- Palermo2-1Empoli
- Empoli1-0Palermo
| Empoli | Draw | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palermo (rating 1474 vs 1582).
- H2H favours Palermo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Empoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Empoli 2–1–3 Palermo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Empoli |
| 07/12/25 Italy Serie B | Empoli | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Palermo |
| 02/02/18 Italy Serie B | Empoli | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Palermo |
| 09/09/17 Italy Serie B | Palermo | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Empoli |
| 28/05/17 Italy Serie A | Palermo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Empoli |
| 07/01/17 Italy Serie A | Empoli | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Palermo |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Empoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Avellino | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Venezia | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Padova | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Palermo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Empoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Modena Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Cremonese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Palermo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Padova Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/09 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Arezzo Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Catanzaro Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Empoli vs Palermo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palermo win (48%). Probabilities: Empoli 25%, draw 27%, Palermo 48%.
How many goals are expected in Empoli vs Palermo?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Empoli 1.03 · Palermo 1.53), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Empoli vs Palermo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.