Football · Croatia 1.NL · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: NK Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo

Team pages: NK Dubrava Zagreb · Bijelo Brdo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

NK Dubrava Zagreb1

Bijelo Brdo0.92

1X2

37% 31% 32%

NK Dubrava Zagreb Draw Bijelo Brdo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dubrava Zagreb 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLDWDW

Bijelo Brdo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLWWL

Head-to-head

NK Dubrava Zagreb 2–2–2 Bijelo Brdo (6 last)

NK Dubrava Zagreb1-2Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo0-0NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Dubrava Zagreb1-0Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo2-1NK Dubrava Zagreb
Bijelo Brdo1-1NK Dubrava Zagreb
NK Dubrava Zagreb3-0Bijelo Brdo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dubrava Zagreb 1511 · Bijelo Brdo 1531

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	Draw	Bijelo Brdo
Our model	35%	34%	31%
Market	38%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dubrava Zagreb	Bijelo Brdo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:10 +19’	2.38	3.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dubrava Zagreb 2–2–2 Bijelo Brdo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-2 HT 1-0	Bijelo Brdo
29/11/25 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb
17/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-0 HT 1-0	Bijelo Brdo
30/05/25 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	2-1 HT 1-1	NK Dubrava Zagreb
09/11/24 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	1-1 HT 1-0	NK Dubrava Zagreb
31/08/24 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dubrava Zagreb	3-0 HT 2-0	Bijelo Brdo

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jadran LP	6	3	2	1	11	7	11
2	Mladost Zdralovi	6	3	2	1	6	5	11
3	NK Croatia Zmijavci	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
4	HNK Cibalia	6	2	4	0	6	4	10
5	HNK Segesta	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
6	Bijelo Brdo	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	NK Sesvete	6	3	0	3	9	6	9
8	NK Dugopolje	6	2	3	1	9	8	9
9	Orijent	6	2	2	2	6	5	8
10	NK Dubrava Zagreb	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
11	Vukovar 91	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
12	Karlovac	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
13	Dinamo Zagreb II	6	2	0	4	10	11	6
14	NK Kustosija	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
15	NK Opatija	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
16	Hrvace	6	1	1	4	4	12	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dubrava Zagreb	Bijelo Brdo
Hrvace	0-0 D	1-2 L
NK Opatija	2-1 W	3-2 W
Jadran LP	1-1 D	1-0 W
NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-2 L	0-1 L
HNK Cibalia	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bijelo Brdo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dubrava Zagreb

WWWWLLDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
06/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
02/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
28/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
23/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	3-0	3-2	6	2	W
17/05	NK Jarun Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
09/05	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Bijelo Brdo

WWLLWDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
11/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-2	3-2	3	5	W
06/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
28/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
23/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/05	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
22/05	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
16/05	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
09/05	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Dubrava Zagreb win (37%). Probabilities: NK Dubrava Zagreb 37%, draw 31%, Bijelo Brdo 32%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo?

The model expects 1.92 goals (NK Dubrava Zagreb 1 · Bijelo Brdo 0.92), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dubrava Zagreb vs Bijelo Brdo?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.