Football · Croatia 1.NL · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hrvace vs Orijent

Team pages: Hrvace · Orijent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Hrvace1.03

Orijent1.18

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Hrvace Draw Orijent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Hrvace 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLDW

Orijent 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDDLW

Head-to-head

Hrvace 1–1–1 Orijent (3 last)

Hrvace4-0Orijent
Hrvace0-0Orijent
Orijent4-1Hrvace

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hrvace 1443 · Orijent 1505

	Hrvace	Draw	Orijent
Our model	30%	32%	38%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orijent (rating 1443 vs 1505).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hrvace	Orijent
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:57 +42’	2.80	3.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hrvace 1–1–1 Orijent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	Hrvace	4-0 HT 3-0	Orijent
01/11/25 Croatia 1.NL	Hrvace	0-0 HT 0-0	Orijent
23/08/25 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	4-1 HT 1-0	Hrvace

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jadran LP	6	3	2	1	11	7	11
2	Mladost Zdralovi	6	3	2	1	6	5	11
3	NK Croatia Zmijavci	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
4	HNK Cibalia	6	2	4	0	6	4	10
5	HNK Segesta	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
6	Bijelo Brdo	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
7	NK Sesvete	6	3	0	3	9	6	9
8	NK Dugopolje	6	2	3	1	9	8	9
9	Orijent	6	2	2	2	6	5	8
10	NK Dubrava Zagreb	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
11	Vukovar 91	6	2	2	2	11	13	8
12	Karlovac	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
13	Dinamo Zagreb II	6	2	0	4	10	11	6
14	NK Kustosija	6	1	3	2	3	4	6
15	NK Opatija	6	1	1	4	7	10	4
16	Hrvace	6	1	1	4	4	12	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hrvace	Orijent
NK Dubrava Zagreb	0-0 D	0-1 L
Karlovac	1-3 L	1-0 W
NK Opatija	0-1 L	1-0 W
Jadran LP	1-4 L	0-1 L
NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Orijent (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hrvace

LLLLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
12/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
02/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	13	4	L
29/08	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
23/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
30/05	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
24/05	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
16/05	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
10/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-2	0-2	6	7	L

Orijent

LWLWLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
12/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
06/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
22/08	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
30/05	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
23/05	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
16/05	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/05	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hrvace vs Orijent?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Orijent win (39%). Probabilities: Hrvace 31%, draw 30%, Orijent 39%.

How many goals are expected in Hrvace vs Orijent?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Hrvace 1.03 · Orijent 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hrvace vs Orijent?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.