Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Stanway Rovers vs Ramsgate
Team pages: Stanway Rovers · Ramsgate
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Stanway Rovers1.32
Ramsgate1.37
1X2
Stanway Rovers
Draw
Ramsgate
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stanway Rovers
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Ramsgate
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stanway Rovers 1523 · Ramsgate 1429
| Stanway Rovers | Draw | Ramsgate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stanway Rovers (rating 1523 vs 1429).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stanway Rovers | Ramsgate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.3 |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dulwich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | St Albans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Brentwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Carshalton Ath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Welling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dartford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aveley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Cray Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Stanway Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Three Bridges | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ramsgate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chatham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFC Whyteleafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Burgess Hill Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Whitehawk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lewes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stanway Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Brightlingsea Regent Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Heybridge Swifts Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Waltham Abbey England Isthmian Division One North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Tilbury England Isthmian Division One North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/02 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd England Isthmian Division One North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/02 | Wroxham England Isthmian Division One North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/12 | Walthamstow England Isthmian Division One North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/12 | Waltham Abbey England Isthmian Division One North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/12 | Gorleston England Isthmian Division One North |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Ramsgate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Leatherhead England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stanway Rovers vs Ramsgate?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ramsgate win (38%). Probabilities: Stanway Rovers 36%, draw 26%, Ramsgate 38%.
How many goals are expected in Stanway Rovers vs Ramsgate?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Stanway Rovers 1.32 · Ramsgate 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stanway Rovers vs Ramsgate?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.