Prediction: AFC Whyteleafe vs Wingate & Finchley

Team pages: AFC Whyteleafe · Wingate & Finchley

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
AFC Whyteleafe1.6
Wingate & Finchley1.32
1X2
43% 26% 31%
AFC Whyteleafe Draw Wingate & Finchley
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Whyteleafe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWWWLL
Wingate & Finchley 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Whyteleafe 1528 · Wingate & Finchley 1437
AFC WhyteleafeDrawWingate & Finchley
Our model43%27%30%
Market44%25%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Whyteleafe (rating 1528 vs 1437).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AFC WhyteleafeWingate & Finchley
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.50.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)57/29/14%0/56/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 71 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)8 / 12.3 / 0

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Leatherhead 2200 626
2 Carshalton Ath 2200 406
3 St Albans 2200 526
4 Dartford 2200 426
5 Eastbourne Borough 2110 544
6 Dulwich 2101 733
7 Enfield Town 2101 523
8 Ramsgate 2101 433
9 Burgess Hill Town 2101 323
10 Brentwood Town 2101 213
11 Chatham Town 2101 443
12 Welling 2101 343
13 Maldon Tiptree FC 2101 163
14 Cray Wanderers 2020 112
15 Cheshunt 2020 002
16 Aveley 2011 231
17 Stanway Rovers 2011 131
17 Wingate & Finchley 2011 131
19 Whitehawk 2011 021
20 Lewes 2011 041
21 Three Bridges 2002 460
22 AFC Whyteleafe 2002 050

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAFC WhyteleafeWingate & Finchley
Carshalton Ath 0-2 L 0-2 L
Cray Wanderers 3-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Whyteleafe (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Whyteleafe

DWWWLWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Burgess Hill Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-3 L
08/08 Carshalton Ath
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-2 L
28/07 Sittingbourne
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-1 W
25/07 Cray Valley Paper Mills
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-0 W
18/07 Corinthian Casuals
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
14/07 Punjab Utd
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
11/07 South Park
Club Friendly List
3-2 W
07/07 Beckenham Town
Club Friendly List
2-0 8-2 W
04/07 Cray Wanderers
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-1 W
01/05 Croydon Athletic
England Isthmian Division One South
0-0 1-1 79 D

Wingate & Finchley

LLWLLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Carshalton Ath
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-1 0-2 34 L
08/08 Cray Wanderers
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-1 D
01/08 Tonbridge Angels
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
25/07 Chesham
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
18/07 Hadley
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-0 W
14/07 Kingstonian
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-3 22 L
11/07 Uxbridge
Club Friendly List
1-2 1-5 L
07/07 Waltham Abbey
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-2 W
04/07 Royston Town
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
25/04 Aveley
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-0 0-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Whyteleafe vs Wingate & Finchley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Whyteleafe win (43%). Probabilities: AFC Whyteleafe 43%, draw 26%, Wingate & Finchley 31%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Whyteleafe vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model expects 2.92 goals (AFC Whyteleafe 1.6 · Wingate & Finchley 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Whyteleafe vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.