Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead
Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · Leatherhead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Burgess Hill Town1.35
Leatherhead1.54
1X2
Burgess Hill Town
Draw
Leatherhead
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Burgess Hill Town
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Leatherhead
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Burgess Hill Town
2–4
Leatherhead
(6 last)
- Burgess Hill Town0-3Leatherhead
- Leatherhead3-0Burgess Hill Town
- Burgess Hill Town0-1Leatherhead
- Leatherhead2-1Burgess Hill Town
- Leatherhead1-2Burgess Hill Town
- Burgess Hill Town3-2Leatherhead
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1504 · Leatherhead 1579
| Burgess Hill Town | Draw | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leatherhead (rating 1504 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Leatherhead: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burgess Hill Town | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 56/0/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 0 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 2–0–4 Leatherhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/19 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 0-3 | Leatherhead |
| 21/11/18 England Isthmian Premier Division | Leatherhead | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 12/04/18 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Leatherhead |
| 07/02/18 England Isthmian Premier Division | Leatherhead | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 11/02/17 England Isthmian Premier Division | Leatherhead | 1-2 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 08/10/16 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 3-2 | Leatherhead |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leatherhead | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Carshalton Ath | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | St Albans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Dartford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Eastbourne Borough | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Dulwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Enfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ramsgate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Brentwood Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Welling | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Aveley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Stanway Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Lewes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Three Bridges | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 | AFC Whyteleafe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Croydon Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Dover UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hassocks Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Sevenoaks Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | East Grinstead Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Roffey FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Leatherhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
4-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Walton & Hersham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | South Park Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Abbey Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Sutton Common Rovers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Epsom & Ewell Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leatherhead win (41%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 33%, draw 26%, Leatherhead 41%.
How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.35 · Leatherhead 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs Leatherhead?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.