Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 02/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Team pages: FC Balti · Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

FC Balti0.56

Sheriff Tiraspol2.08

1X2

9% 18% 73%

FC Balti Draw Sheriff Tiraspol

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Balti 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWLDLL

Sheriff Tiraspol 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWLDL

Head-to-head

FC Balti 1–5 Sheriff Tiraspol (6 last)

Sheriff Tiraspol2-0FC Balti
FC Balti0-1Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol1-2FC Balti
FC Balti0-3Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol1-0FC Balti
FC Balti0-1Sheriff Tiraspol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Balti 1433 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1545

	FC Balti	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
Our model	8%	20%	72%
Market	10%	16%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheriff Tiraspol (rating 1433 vs 1545).
H2H favours Sheriff Tiraspol: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Balti	Sheriff Tiraspol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

19.50

X5.50

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.82

2 (-2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.50 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00
2	1.22 → 1.30▲	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +1’	9.50	5.50	1.22
09:19 +2’	12.00▲	6.00▲	1.17▼
11:01 +4’	9.50▼	5.50▼	1.22▲
13:10 +11’	12.00▲	6.25▲	1.17▼
16:11 +3’	7.50▼	5.00▼	1.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Balti 1–0–5 Sheriff Tiraspol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Balti
08/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-1 HT 0-0	Sheriff Tiraspol
02/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Balti
31/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-3 HT 0-1	Sheriff Tiraspol
13/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Sheriff Tiraspol	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Balti
10/05/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	FC Balti	0-1 HT 0-0	Sheriff Tiraspol

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	5	3	2	0	10	4	11
2	Dacia Buiucani	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
3	CS Petrocub	5	2	2	1	10	5	8
4	Zimbru Chisinau	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	FC Milsami	5	1	2	2	2	7	5
7	FC Balti	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
8	FC Real Sireti	5	0	2	3	2	9	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Balti	Sheriff Tiraspol
FC Milsami	1-2 L	0-0 D
CS Petrocub	1-1 D	3-2 W
Zimbru Chisinau	0-3 L	4-2 W
FC Politehnica Chisinau	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sheriff Tiraspol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Balti

DWLLDWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
19/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
11/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
05/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	2	6	L
27/06	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
02/05	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	1-4	2	1	L
26/04	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/04	CS Petrocub Moldova Cup	0-0	1-1	7	1	D

Sheriff Tiraspol

WWDDWWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
26/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
23/07	Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-5	4	6	L
19/07	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-2	6	4	W
16/07	NK Aluminij UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/07	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
09/07	NK Aluminij UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
04/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
28/06	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/05	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup	1-0	2-0	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheriff Tiraspol win (73%). Probabilities: FC Balti 9%, draw 18%, Sheriff Tiraspol 73%.

How many goals are expected in FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The model expects 2.64 goals (FC Balti 0.56 · Sheriff Tiraspol 2.08), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.