Football · Moldova Divizia Nationala · 02/08, 19:00

Prediction: Dacia Buiucani vs Zimbru Chisinau

Team pages: Dacia Buiucani · Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Dacia Buiucani1.17

Zimbru Chisinau1.97

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Dacia Buiucani Draw Zimbru Chisinau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dacia Buiucani 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWWLW

Zimbru Chisinau 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Dacia Buiucani 0–3–3 Zimbru Chisinau (6 last)

Dacia Buiucani0-3Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau3-2Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani2-2Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau1-1Dacia Buiucani
Dacia Buiucani0-3Zimbru Chisinau
Zimbru Chisinau1-1Dacia Buiucani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dacia Buiucani 1464 · Zimbru Chisinau 1554

	Dacia Buiucani	Draw	Zimbru Chisinau
Our model	21%	24%	55%
Market	22%	23%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1464 vs 1554).
H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dacia Buiucani	Zimbru Chisinau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.90

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +1’	4.10	3.90	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dacia Buiucani 0–3–3 Zimbru Chisinau

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	0-3 HT 0-1	Zimbru Chisinau
14/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	3-2 HT 2-1	Dacia Buiucani
25/10/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	2-2 HT 0-1	Zimbru Chisinau
24/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Zimbru Chisinau	1-1 HT 0-1	Dacia Buiucani
06/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala	Dacia Buiucani	0-3 HT 0-1	Zimbru Chisinau
19/02/25 Other Match	Zimbru Chisinau	1-1 HT 1-1	Dacia Buiucani

Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	5	3	2	0	10	4	11
2	Dacia Buiucani	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
3	CS Petrocub	5	2	2	1	10	5	8
4	Zimbru Chisinau	5	2	2	1	8	5	8
5	FC Politehnica Chisinau	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
6	FC Milsami	5	1	2	2	2	7	5
7	FC Balti	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
8	FC Real Sireti	5	0	2	3	2	9	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dacia Buiucani	Zimbru Chisinau
FC Balti	4-1 W	3-0 W
FC Politehnica Chisinau	1-5 L	2-0 W
FC Milsami	1-0 W	0-0 D
FC Real Sireti	3-0 W	1-1 D
CS Petrocub	1-2 L	1-1 D
Sheriff Tiraspol	1-2 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dacia Buiucani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dacia Buiucani

LLLLDLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	4-1	3	7	W
18/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
12/07	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
05/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
28/06	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
17/05	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	1-2	4	7	L
03/05	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-1	1-2	8	1	L
25/04	Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
21/04	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup	1-0	1-2	6	7	L

Zimbru Chisinau

WDLDWLDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	FC Noah UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
26/07	FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
23/07	FC Noah UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
18/07	FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
12/07	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-2	2-4	8	3	L
05/07	FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
27/06	FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
23/05	Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup	0-1	0-2	11	6	L
17/05	CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala	0-1	1-1	9	9	D
13/05	FC Milsami Moldova Cup	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dacia Buiucani vs Zimbru Chisinau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zimbru Chisinau win (55%). Probabilities: Dacia Buiucani 22%, draw 23%, Zimbru Chisinau 55%.

How many goals are expected in Dacia Buiucani vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Dacia Buiucani 1.17 · Zimbru Chisinau 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dacia Buiucani vs Zimbru Chisinau?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.