Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Aveley1.77
Eastbourne Borough1.87
1X2
Aveley
Draw
Eastbourne Borough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aveley
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Eastbourne Borough
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aveley
2–2
Eastbourne Borough
(4 last)
- Aveley0-2Eastbourne Borough
- Eastbourne Borough2-1Aveley
- Eastbourne Borough1-2Aveley
- Aveley2-0Eastbourne Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aveley 1513 · Eastbourne Borough 1479
| Aveley | Draw | Eastbourne Borough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 23% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aveley | Eastbourne Borough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/22/56% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.6 | 4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aveley 2–0–2 Eastbourne Borough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 England National League South | Aveley | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Eastbourne Borough |
| 24/08/24 England National League South | Eastbourne Borough | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aveley |
| 23/01/24 England National League South | Eastbourne Borough | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aveley |
| 14/08/23 England National League South | Aveley | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Eastbourne Borough |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aveley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Southend UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Canvey Island UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Brightlingsea Regent UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Braintree Town UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ebbsfleet United Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Leiston UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 07/07 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Eastbourne Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Woking Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Tonbridge Angels UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Eastbourne Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Eastbourne United Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Chelmsford England National League South |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/04 | Worthing England National League South |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 28/03 | Bath City England National League South |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Eastbourne Borough win (40%). Probabilities: Aveley 36%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 40%.
How many goals are expected in Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Aveley 1.77 · Eastbourne Borough 1.87), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aveley vs Eastbourne Borough?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.