Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Chatham Town vs Three Bridges
Team pages: Chatham Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Chatham Town2.04
Three Bridges1.12
1X2
Chatham Town
Draw
Three Bridges
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chatham Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Three Bridges
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chatham Town
1–0
Three Bridges
(1 last)
- Three Bridges2-4Chatham Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chatham Town 1483 · Three Bridges 1446
| Chatham Town | Draw | Three Bridges | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chatham Town | Three Bridges | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 3.7 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chatham Town 1–0–0 Three Bridges
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/23 England Isthmian Cup | Three Bridges | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Chatham Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leatherhead | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Carshalton Ath | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | St Albans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Dartford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Eastbourne Borough | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Dulwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Enfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ramsgate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Brentwood Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Welling | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Aveley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Stanway Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Lewes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Three Bridges | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 | AFC Whyteleafe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chatham Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Dorking Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Margate UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Herne Bay Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Erith & Belvedere Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
Three Bridges
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Gosport Borough Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Croydon Athletic Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Egham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/10 | VCD Athletic England Isthmian Division One South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Ascot Utd England FA Trophy |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Walton & Hersham England FA Cup Qualification |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | East Grinstead Town England Isthmian Division One South |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chatham Town vs Three Bridges?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chatham Town win (58%). Probabilities: Chatham Town 58%, draw 22%, Three Bridges 20%.
How many goals are expected in Chatham Town vs Three Bridges?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Chatham Town 2.04 · Three Bridges 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chatham Town vs Three Bridges?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.