Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Chatham Town vs Dulwich
Team pages: Chatham Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Chatham Town1.45
Dulwich1.13
1X2
Chatham Town
Draw
Dulwich
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chatham Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Dulwich
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chatham Town
3–2–1
Dulwich
(6 last)
- Dulwich1-0Chatham Town
- Chatham Town0-0Dulwich
- Dulwich2-2Chatham Town
- Chatham Town3-1Dulwich
- Chatham Town2-1Dulwich
- Dulwich2-5Chatham Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chatham Town 1454 · Dulwich 1575
| Chatham Town | Draw | Dulwich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dulwich (rating 1454 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Chatham Town: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chatham Town | Dulwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 0.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chatham Town 3–2–1 Dulwich
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chatham Town |
| 21/10/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Chatham Town | 0-0 | Dulwich |
| 26/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 2-2 | Chatham Town |
| 24/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Chatham Town | 3-1 | Dulwich |
| 01/01/24 England Isthmian Premier Division | Chatham Town | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dulwich |
| 28/08/23 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dulwich | 2-5 | Chatham Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dulwich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | St Albans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Brentwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Carshalton Ath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Welling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dartford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aveley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Cray Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Stanway Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Three Bridges | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ramsgate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chatham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFC Whyteleafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Burgess Hill Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Whitehawk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lewes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chatham Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Dorking Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Margate UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Herne Bay Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Erith & Belvedere Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
Dulwich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Horsham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Jersey Bulls Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chatham Town vs Dulwich?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chatham Town win (44%). Probabilities: Chatham Town 44%, draw 27%, Dulwich 29%.
How many goals are expected in Chatham Town vs Dulwich?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Chatham Town 1.45 · Dulwich 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chatham Town vs Dulwich?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.