Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Brentwood Town2.06
Burgess Hill Town1.41
1X2
Brentwood Town
Draw
Burgess Hill Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brentwood Town
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Burgess Hill Town
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brentwood Town
1–2–1
Burgess Hill Town
(4 last)
- Burgess Hill Town3-2Brentwood Town
- Brentwood Town2-1Burgess Hill Town
- Burgess Hill Town1-1Brentwood Town
- Brentwood Town1-1Burgess Hill Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brentwood Town 1538 · Burgess Hill Town 1513
| Brentwood Town | Draw | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brentwood Town | Burgess Hill Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentwood Town 1–2–1 Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 3-2 | Brentwood Town |
| 23/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Brentwood Town | 2-1 | Burgess Hill Town |
| 27/02/16 England Isthmian Premier Division | Burgess Hill Town | 1-1 | Brentwood Town |
| 23/01/16 England Isthmian Premier Division | Brentwood Town | 1-1 | Burgess Hill Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brentwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sittingbourne Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Canvey Island UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Saffron Walden Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Ebbsfleet United Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Grays Athletic Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Hullbridge Sports Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
Burgess Hill Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Croydon Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Dover UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hassocks Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Sevenoaks Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | East Grinstead Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Roffey FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brentwood Town win (52%). Probabilities: Brentwood Town 52%, draw 23%, Burgess Hill Town 25%.
How many goals are expected in Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Brentwood Town 2.06 · Burgess Hill Town 1.41), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.