Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: St Albans vs Chatham Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
St Albans1.44
Chatham Town1.59
1X2
St Albans
Draw
Chatham Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Albans
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Chatham Town
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Albans
1–1–0
Chatham Town
(2 last)
- Chatham Town1-4St Albans
- St Albans0-0Chatham Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Albans 1537 · Chatham Town 1491
| St Albans | Draw | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Albans (rating 1537 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Albans | Chatham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Albans 1–1–0 Chatham Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Chatham Town | 1-4 | St Albans |
| 09/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | St Albans | 0-0 | Chatham Town |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Albans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Potters Bar Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Hemel Hempstead UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Real Bedford UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Bedfont Sports UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Chatham Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Dorking Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Margate UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Herne Bay Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Erith & Belvedere Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Albans vs Chatham Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chatham Town win (40%). Probabilities: St Albans 34%, draw 26%, Chatham Town 40%.
How many goals are expected in St Albans vs Chatham Town?
The model expects 3.04 goals (St Albans 1.44 · Chatham Town 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Albans vs Chatham Town?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.