Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Whyteleafe vs Carshalton Ath

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

AFC Whyteleafe1.64

Carshalton Ath1.55

1X2

40% 25% 36%

AFC Whyteleafe Draw Carshalton Ath

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Whyteleafe 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Carshalton Ath 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AFC Whyteleafe 0–1 Carshalton Ath (1 last)

Carshalton Ath4-0AFC Whyteleafe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Whyteleafe 1571 · Carshalton Ath 1469

	AFC Whyteleafe	Draw	Carshalton Ath
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Whyteleafe (rating 1571 vs 1469).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Whyteleafe	Carshalton Ath
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	57/0/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:30 +79’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Whyteleafe 0–0–1 Carshalton Ath

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/24 Club Friendly List	Carshalton Ath	4-0 HT 1-0	AFC Whyteleafe

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AFC Whyteleafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aveley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brentwood Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burgess Hill Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Carshalton Ath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chatham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cheshunt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cray Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dartford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dulwich	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eastbourne Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Enfield Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leatherhead	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lewes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maldon Tiptree FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ramsgate	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Albans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stanway Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Three Bridges	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Welling	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Whitehawk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wingate & Finchley	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFC Whyteleafe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Sittingbourne Club Friendly List	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/07	Cray Valley Paper Mills Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	Corinthian Casuals Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/07	Punjab Utd Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/07	South Park Club Friendly List	–	3-2	–	–	W
07/07	Beckenham Town Club Friendly List	2-0	8-2	–	–	W
04/07	Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
01/05	Croydon Athletic England Isthmian Division One South	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
18/11	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Cup	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
23/09	Sevenoaks Town England Isthmian Division One South	2-0	4-0	3	6	W

Carshalton Ath

DLLDWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Dover UK Friendlies	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
21/07	Sheerwater FC Club Friendly List	3-1	5-3	–	–	W
18/07	Hanworth Villa UK Friendlies	1-0	1-2	1	1	L
14/07	Farnborough Club Friendly List	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Hampton & Richmond UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
25/04	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/04	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/04	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
04/04	Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-2	9	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Whyteleafe vs Carshalton Ath?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Whyteleafe win (40%). Probabilities: AFC Whyteleafe 40%, draw 25%, Carshalton Ath 36%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Whyteleafe vs Carshalton Ath?

The model expects 3.18 goals (AFC Whyteleafe 1.64 · Carshalton Ath 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Whyteleafe vs Carshalton Ath?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.