Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Wingate & Finchley1.46
Cray Wanderers1.64
1X2
Wingate & Finchley
Draw
Cray Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wingate & Finchley
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Cray Wanderers
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wingate & Finchley
1–1–4
Cray Wanderers
(6 last)
- Wingate & Finchley1-2Cray Wanderers
- Cray Wanderers3-2Wingate & Finchley
- Cray Wanderers4-1Wingate & Finchley
- Wingate & Finchley1-0Cray Wanderers
- Wingate & Finchley0-1Cray Wanderers
- Cray Wanderers1-1Wingate & Finchley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wingate & Finchley 1431 · Cray Wanderers 1517
| Wingate & Finchley | Draw | Cray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cray Wanderers (rating 1431 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Cray Wanderers: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wingate & Finchley | Cray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/63/38% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wingate & Finchley 1–1–4 Cray Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Wingate & Finchley | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Cray Wanderers |
| 16/08/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Cray Wanderers | 3-2 | Wingate & Finchley |
| 12/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Cray Wanderers | 4-1 | Wingate & Finchley |
| 28/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Wingate & Finchley | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cray Wanderers |
| 17/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification | Wingate & Finchley | 0-1 | Cray Wanderers |
| 14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification | Cray Wanderers | 1-1 | Wingate & Finchley |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wingate & Finchley | Cray Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Lewes | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cray Wanderers (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wingate & Finchley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tonbridge Angels Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hadley Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Kingstonian UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Uxbridge Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Waltham Abbey Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Cray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Faversham Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Cray Valley Paper Mills Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Tonbridge Angels Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Dover Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | AFC Whyteleafe Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cray Wanderers win (41%). Probabilities: Wingate & Finchley 34%, draw 25%, Cray Wanderers 41%.
How many goals are expected in Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Wingate & Finchley 1.46 · Cray Wanderers 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.