Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Aveley vs Whitehawk
Team pages: Aveley · Whitehawk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Aveley2.25
Whitehawk1.03
1X2
Aveley
Draw
Whitehawk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aveley
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Whitehawk
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aveley
2–0
Whitehawk
(2 last)
- Aveley4-2Whitehawk
- Whitehawk0-1Aveley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aveley 1513 · Whitehawk 1502
| Aveley | Draw | Whitehawk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aveley: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aveley | Whitehawk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.5 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/13/63% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5 | 0.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aveley 2–0–0 Whitehawk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Aveley | 4-2 | Whitehawk |
| 08/11/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Aveley |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leatherhead | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Carshalton Ath | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | St Albans | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Dartford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Eastbourne Borough | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Dulwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Enfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Ramsgate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Brentwood Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Chatham Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Welling | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Aveley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Stanway Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Lewes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Three Bridges | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 | AFC Whyteleafe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aveley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Southend UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Canvey Island UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Brightlingsea Regent UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Braintree Town UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ebbsfleet United Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Leiston UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 07/07 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Whitehawk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Roffey FC Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Lancing Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aveley vs Whitehawk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aveley win (64%). Probabilities: Aveley 64%, draw 21%, Whitehawk 15%.
How many goals are expected in Aveley vs Whitehawk?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Aveley 2.25 · Whitehawk 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aveley vs Whitehawk?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.