Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Carshalton Ath vs Cray Wanderers

Team pages: Carshalton Ath · Cray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Carshalton Ath1.62

Cray Wanderers1.24

1X2

45% 26% 28%

Carshalton Ath Draw Cray Wanderers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Carshalton Ath 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWDWW

Cray Wanderers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLDD

Head-to-head

Carshalton Ath 1–3–2 Cray Wanderers (6 last)

Cray Wanderers1-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath2-2Cray Wanderers
Carshalton Ath2-1Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-1Carshalton Ath
Carshalton Ath1-2Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers1-0Carshalton Ath

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carshalton Ath 1504 · Cray Wanderers 1490

	Carshalton Ath	Draw	Cray Wanderers
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cray Wanderers: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carshalton Ath	Cray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.5	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +4’	1.95	3.50	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carshalton Ath 1–3–2 Cray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-1	Carshalton Ath
13/09/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	2-2 HT 0-2	Cray Wanderers
15/03/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	2-1 HT 0-0	Cray Wanderers
30/11/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-1	Carshalton Ath
03/02/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Carshalton Ath	1-2 HT 0-1	Cray Wanderers
11/11/23 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cray Wanderers	1-0	Carshalton Ath

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leatherhead	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Carshalton Ath	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
3	St Albans	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
4	Dartford	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
5	Eastbourne Borough	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	Dulwich	2	1	0	1	7	3	3
7	Enfield Town	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
8	Ramsgate	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Burgess Hill Town	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Brentwood Town	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
11	Chatham Town	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
12	Welling	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
13	Maldon Tiptree FC	2	1	0	1	1	6	3
14	Cray Wanderers	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
15	Cheshunt	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
16	Aveley	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
17	Stanway Rovers	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
17	Wingate & Finchley	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
19	Whitehawk	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
20	Lewes	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
21	Three Bridges	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
22	AFC Whyteleafe	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carshalton Ath	Cray Wanderers
Wingate & Finchley	2-0 W	1-1 D
AFC Whyteleafe	2-0 W	1-3 L
Dover	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Carshalton Ath (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Carshalton Ath

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
08/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/08	Dover UK Friendlies	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
21/07	Sheerwater FC Club Friendly List	3-1	5-3	–	–	W
18/07	Hanworth Villa UK Friendlies	1-0	1-2	1	1	L
14/07	Farnborough Club Friendly List	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Hampton & Richmond UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
25/04	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/04	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L

Cray Wanderers

LLLLWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
08/08	Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Faversham Town Club Friendly List	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
21/07	Cray Valley Paper Mills Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/07	Tonbridge Angels Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/07	Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Dover Club Friendly List	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
04/07	AFC Whyteleafe Club Friendly List	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-4	–	–	L
18/04	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carshalton Ath vs Cray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carshalton Ath win (45%). Probabilities: Carshalton Ath 45%, draw 26%, Cray Wanderers 28%.

How many goals are expected in Carshalton Ath vs Cray Wanderers?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Carshalton Ath 1.62 · Cray Wanderers 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Carshalton Ath vs Cray Wanderers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.