Prediction: Burgess Hill Town vs AFC Whyteleafe

Team pages: Burgess Hill Town · AFC Whyteleafe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Burgess Hill Town1.6
AFC Whyteleafe1.39
1X2
42% 25% 33%
Burgess Hill Town Draw AFC Whyteleafe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Burgess Hill Town 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
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AFC Whyteleafe 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Burgess Hill Town 1–0 AFC Whyteleafe (1 last)
  • Burgess Hill Town2-1AFC Whyteleafe
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgess Hill Town 1492 · AFC Whyteleafe 1538
Burgess Hill TownDrawAFC Whyteleafe
Our model41%26%32%
Market42%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Whyteleafe (rating 1492 vs 1538).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burgess Hill TownAFC Whyteleafe
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.32.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/38/13%50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.72 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.3 / 05 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgess Hill Town 100 AFC Whyteleafe

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/11/25
England Isthmian Cup
Burgess Hill Town2-1
HT 1-1
AFC Whyteleafe

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dulwich 1100 603
2 Enfield Town 1100 403
3 St Albans 1100 313
4 Brentwood Town 1100 203
4 Carshalton Ath 1100 203
4 Welling 1100 203
7 Dartford 1100 323
8 Leatherhead 1100 213
9 Aveley 1010 221
9 Eastbourne Borough 1010 221
11 Cray Wanderers 1010 111
11 Wingate & Finchley 1010 111
13 Cheshunt 1010 001
13 Stanway Rovers 1010 001
15 Three Bridges 1001 230
16 Ramsgate 1001 120
17 Chatham Town 1001 130
18 AFC Whyteleafe 1001 020
18 Burgess Hill Town 1001 020
18 Whitehawk 1001 020
21 Lewes 1001 040
22 Maldon Tiptree FC 1001 060

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurgess Hill TownAFC Whyteleafe
Croydon Athletic 0-1 L 1-1 D
Cray Wanderers 4-2 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Whyteleafe (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgess Hill Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Brentwood Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-2 L
01/08 Croydon Athletic
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 71 L
25/07 Dover
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 00 L
21/07 Broadbridge Heath
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-2 L
18/07 Hassocks
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
14/07 Sevenoaks Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-1 40 W
11/07 Steyning Town FC
Club Friendly List
2-1 4-1 W
07/07 East Grinstead Town
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-0 W
04/07 Roffey FC
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-0 W
25/04 Cray Wanderers
England Isthmian Premier Division
4-2 W

AFC Whyteleafe

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Carshalton Ath
England Isthmian Premier Division
0-2 L
28/07 Sittingbourne
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-1 W
25/07 Cray Valley Paper Mills
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-0 W
18/07 Corinthian Casuals
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
14/07 Punjab Utd
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
11/07 South Park
Club Friendly List
3-2 W
07/07 Beckenham Town
Club Friendly List
2-0 8-2 W
04/07 Cray Wanderers
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-1 W
01/05 Croydon Athletic
England Isthmian Division One South
0-0 1-1 79 D
18/11 Burgess Hill Town
England Isthmian Cup
1-1 1-2 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgess Hill Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgess Hill Town win (42%). Probabilities: Burgess Hill Town 42%, draw 25%, AFC Whyteleafe 33%.

How many goals are expected in Burgess Hill Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Burgess Hill Town 1.6 · AFC Whyteleafe 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgess Hill Town vs AFC Whyteleafe?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.