Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Whitehawk vs Lewes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Whitehawk1.68
Lewes1.57
1X2
Whitehawk
Draw
Lewes
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Whitehawk
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Lewes
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Whitehawk
2–1–3
Lewes
(6 last)
- Lewes3-0Whitehawk
- Whitehawk3-1Lewes
- Whitehawk2-1Lewes
- Lewes2-1Whitehawk
- Lewes1-1Whitehawk
- Whitehawk1-2Lewes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Whitehawk 1529 · Lewes 1458
| Whitehawk | Draw | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Whitehawk (rating 1529 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Lewes: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Whitehawk | Lewes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 25/13/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Whitehawk 2–1–3 Lewes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Lewes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Whitehawk |
| 24/02/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 3-1 | Lewes |
| 21/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Lewes |
| 26/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Lewes | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Whitehawk |
| 01/04/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Lewes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Whitehawk |
| 26/12/23 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Lewes |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dulwich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | St Albans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Brentwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Carshalton Ath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Welling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dartford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aveley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Cray Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Stanway Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Three Bridges | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ramsgate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chatham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFC Whyteleafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Burgess Hill Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Whitehawk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lewes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Whitehawk | Lewes |
|---|---|---|
| Potters Bar Town | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Wingate & Finchley | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Whitehawk (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Whitehawk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Roffey FC Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Lancing Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Lewes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Hastings Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Rusthall FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Whitehawk vs Lewes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Whitehawk win (40%). Probabilities: Whitehawk 40%, draw 25%, Lewes 35%.
How many goals are expected in Whitehawk vs Lewes?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Whitehawk 1.68 · Lewes 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Whitehawk vs Lewes?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.