Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Cheshunt vs Stanway Rovers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Cheshunt1.57

Stanway Rovers1.15

1X2

47% 26% 28%

Cheshunt Draw Stanway Rovers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cheshunt 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDWLLW

Stanway Rovers 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheshunt 1486 · Stanway Rovers 1522

	Cheshunt	Draw	Stanway Rovers
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cheshunt	Stanway Rovers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 0	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.75

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +53’	1.90	3.75	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AFC Whyteleafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aveley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brentwood Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burgess Hill Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Carshalton Ath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chatham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cheshunt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cray Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dartford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dulwich	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eastbourne Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Enfield Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leatherhead	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lewes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maldon Tiptree FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ramsgate	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	St Albans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stanway Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Three Bridges	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Welling	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Whitehawk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wingate & Finchley	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cheshunt

WLLWDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Berkhamsted Club Friendly List	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/07	Potters Bar Town Club Friendly List	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Waltham Abbey Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/07	Leyton Orient Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	0	0	W
18/07	Ware Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/07	Haringey Borough Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
11/07	Barking Club Friendly List	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-5	–	–	L
18/04	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/04	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W

Stanway Rovers

WWLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Brightlingsea Regent Club Friendly List	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/07	Heybridge Swifts Club Friendly List	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
28/04	Waltham Abbey England Isthmian Division One North	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
18/04	Tilbury England Isthmian Division One North	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
20/02	Felixstowe & Walton Utd England Isthmian Division One North	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
10/02	Wroxham England Isthmian Division One North	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
19/12	Walthamstow England Isthmian Division One North	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
16/12	Waltham Abbey England Isthmian Division One North	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
13/12	Gorleston England Isthmian Division One North	1-0	4-1	6	3	W
02/12	Tilbury England Isthmian Division One North	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheshunt vs Stanway Rovers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cheshunt win (47%). Probabilities: Cheshunt 47%, draw 26%, Stanway Rovers 28%.

How many goals are expected in Cheshunt vs Stanway Rovers?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Cheshunt 1.57 · Stanway Rovers 1.15), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Stanway Rovers?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.