Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Welling vs Whitehawk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Welling1.76
Whitehawk1.43
1X2
Welling
Draw
Whitehawk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Welling
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Whitehawk
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Welling
3–3
Whitehawk
(6 last)
- Welling2-1Whitehawk
- Whitehawk1-2Welling
- Whitehawk2-1Welling
- Welling1-0Whitehawk
- Whitehawk1-0Welling
- Welling1-2Whitehawk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Welling 1536 · Whitehawk 1518
| Welling | Draw | Whitehawk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Welling | Whitehawk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/25/38% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Welling 3–0–3 Whitehawk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division | Welling | 2-1 | Whitehawk |
| 06/12/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Whitehawk | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Welling |
| 14/04/18 England National League South | Whitehawk | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Welling |
| 12/09/17 England National League South | Welling | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Whitehawk |
| 04/03/17 England National League South | Whitehawk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Welling |
| 22/10/16 England National League South | Welling | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Whitehawk |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Welling | Whitehawk |
|---|---|---|
| Folkestone Invicta | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Billericay Town | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Potters Bar Town | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Welling (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Welling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Billericay Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Buckhurst Hill Club Friendly List |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Punjab Utd Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Braintree Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Erith & Belvedere Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Whitehawk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Steyning Town FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Broadbridge Heath Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Roffey FC Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Lancing Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Wingate & Finchley England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/03 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Welling vs Whitehawk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Welling win (44%). Probabilities: Welling 44%, draw 25%, Whitehawk 31%.
How many goals are expected in Welling vs Whitehawk?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Welling 1.76 · Whitehawk 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Welling vs Whitehawk?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.