Prediction: Leatherhead vs Welling
Team pages: Leatherhead · Welling
| Leatherhead | Draw | Welling | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leatherhead (rating 1579 vs 1518).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leatherhead | Welling | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/0/44% | 29/29/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 9.5 | 0.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.5 | 2 / 0 |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dulwich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Enfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | St Albans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Brentwood Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Carshalton Ath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Welling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dartford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Leatherhead | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aveley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Cray Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Stanway Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Three Bridges | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ramsgate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Chatham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFC Whyteleafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Burgess Hill Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Whitehawk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lewes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leatherhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Walton & Hersham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | South Park Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Abbey Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Sutton Common Rovers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Epsom & Ewell Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Kingstonian England Isthmian Division One South |
2-0 | 3-0 | 18 | 4 | W |
Welling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Folkestone Invicta Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Billericay Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Buckhurst Hill Club Friendly List |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Punjab Utd Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Braintree Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Erith & Belvedere Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leatherhead vs Welling?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leatherhead win (45%). Probabilities: Leatherhead 45%, draw 25%, Welling 30%.
How many goals are expected in Leatherhead vs Welling?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Leatherhead 1.83 · Welling 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Welling?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.