Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ramsgate vs Leatherhead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Ramsgate2.33
Leatherhead1.3
1X2
Ramsgate
Draw
Leatherhead
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ramsgate
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Leatherhead
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ramsgate
0–1
Leatherhead
(1 last)
- Leatherhead4-1Ramsgate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ramsgate 1447 · Leatherhead 1566
| Ramsgate | Draw | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leatherhead (rating 1447 vs 1566).
- High corners: 15.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ramsgate | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 56/0/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 3.5 / 9.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ramsgate 0–0–1 Leatherhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 England FA Trophy | Leatherhead | 4-1 | Ramsgate |
Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Whyteleafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aveley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgess Hill Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carshalton Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chatham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheshunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cray Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dartford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dulwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enfield Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leatherhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lewes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maldon Tiptree FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ramsgate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Albans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stanway Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Three Bridges | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Welling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Whitehawk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wingate & Finchley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ramsgate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Maidstone Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Canvey Island England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Hashtag United England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Billericay Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Folkestone Invicta England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Chichester City England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Cheshunt England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Leatherhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Walton & Hersham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | South Park Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Merstham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Abbey Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Dorking Wanderers UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Sutton Common Rovers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Epsom & Ewell Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Kingstonian England Isthmian Division One South |
2-0 | 3-0 | 18 | 4 | W |
| 10/01 | Horsham England FA Trophy |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ramsgate vs Leatherhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ramsgate win (60%). Probabilities: Ramsgate 60%, draw 20%, Leatherhead 20%.
How many goals are expected in Ramsgate vs Leatherhead?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Ramsgate 2.33 · Leatherhead 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ramsgate vs Leatherhead?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.