Prediction: Emley AFC vs Ilkeston

Team pages: Emley AFC · Ilkeston

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Emley AFC1.11
Ilkeston1.17
1X2
34% 29% 37%
Emley AFC Draw Ilkeston
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Emley AFC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWLDLDWD
Ilkeston 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emley AFC 1498 · Ilkeston 1522
Emley AFCDrawIlkeston
Our model33%31%36%
Market35%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Emley AFCIlkeston
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/56/22%25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 22.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.53.2 / 0.8

Standings · England Northern Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ashton Utd 1100 413
2 Warrington Rylands 1100 303
3 Cleethorpes Town 1100 203
3 Gainsborough 1100 203
5 Avro FC 1100 213
5 Warrington Town 1100 213
5 Whitby 1100 213
8 Curzon Ashton 1100 103
8 Ilkeston 1100 103
10 Emley AFC 1010 001
10 Bury 1010 001
10 Hyde Utd 1010 001
10 Redcar Athletic 1010 001
14 Guiseley 1001 120
14 Leek Town 1001 120
14 Quorn 1001 120
17 Alfreton Town 1001 010
17 Stockton Town 1001 010
19 Bamber Bridge 1001 020
19 Workington 1001 020
21 Lancaster City 1001 140
22 FC United of Manchester 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emley AFC

DLDWLDLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Hyde Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 D
01/08 Pontefract Collieries
Club Friendly List
2-2 3-2 W
28/07 Ossett United
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Mossley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/07 Liversedge
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
18/07 Horbury Town
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-2 L
17/07 Penistone Church
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-2 W
14/07 Rotherham
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
11/07 Garforth Town
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
02/05 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 25 D

Ilkeston

LWDDWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Stockton Town
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-0 41 W
28/07 Basford Utd
UK Friendlies
2-1 4-1 32 W
18/07 Barwell
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
11/07 Worksop
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-3 L
03/07 Belper United FC
Club Friendly List
3-1 4-2 W
25/04 FC United of Manchester
England Northern Premier League
3-2 W
21/04 Glossop North End
England County Cup
0-1 2-2 75 D
18/04 Stocksbridge PS
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-0 87 D
11/04 Bamber Bridge
England Northern Premier League
2-0 W
06/04 Rushall Olympic
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-2 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilkeston win (37%). Probabilities: Emley AFC 34%, draw 29%, Ilkeston 37%.

How many goals are expected in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Emley AFC 1.11 · Ilkeston 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.