Prediction: Emley AFC vs Ilkeston
Team pages: Emley AFC · Ilkeston
| Emley AFC | Draw | Ilkeston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Emley AFC | Ilkeston | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.5 | 3.2 / 0.8 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Warrington Rylands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Whitby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Curzon Ashton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilkeston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Emley AFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Bury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hyde Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Leek Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Quorn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Alfreton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Workington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lancaster City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emley AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Pontefract Collieries Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Ossett United Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Mossley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Liversedge Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Horbury Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Penistone Church Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Rotherham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Garforth Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Bradford P A England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Ilkeston
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stockton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Basford Utd UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Barwell Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Worksop Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Belper United FC Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FC United of Manchester England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | Glossop North End England County Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Rushall Olympic England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilkeston win (37%). Probabilities: Emley AFC 34%, draw 29%, Ilkeston 37%.
How many goals are expected in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Emley AFC 1.11 · Ilkeston 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Emley AFC vs Ilkeston?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

