Prediction: Workington vs Redcar Athletic

Team pages: Workington · Redcar Athletic

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Workington1.36
Redcar Athletic1.42
1X2
35% 27% 38%
Workington Draw Redcar Athletic
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Workington 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLWLLWWL
Redcar Athletic 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLLLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Workington 1502 · Redcar Athletic 1511
WorkingtonDrawRedcar Athletic
Our model35%28%37%
Market36%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WorkingtonRedcar Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.10.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/14/57%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.42.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.22.3 / 0

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ashton Utd 1100 413
2 Warrington Rylands 1100 303
3 Cleethorpes Town 1100 203
3 Gainsborough 1100 203
5 Avro FC 1100 213
5 Warrington Town 1100 213
5 Whitby 1100 213
8 Curzon Ashton 1100 103
8 Ilkeston 1100 103
10 Emley AFC 1010 001
10 Bury 1010 001
10 Hyde Utd 1010 001
10 Redcar Athletic 1010 001
14 Guiseley 1001 120
14 Leek Town 1001 120
14 Quorn 1001 120
17 Alfreton Town 1001 010
17 Stockton Town 1001 010
19 Bamber Bridge 1001 020
19 Workington 1001 020
21 Lancaster City 1001 140
22 FC United of Manchester 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Workington

WLDLWLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Gainsborough
England Northern Premier League
0-2 L
17/07 Carlisle
Club Friendly List
4-0 5-0 W
14/07 Whitehaven
Club Friendly List
3-0 4-0 W
11/07 Barrow
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 11 L
25/04 Leek Town
England Northern Premier League
0-1 L
18/04 Warrington Town
England Northern Premier League
0-2 3-2 59 W
11/04 Ashton Utd
England Northern Premier League
0-0 1-2 33 L
06/04 Cleethorpes Town
England Northern Premier League
0-1 1-1 98 D
04/04 Warrington Rylands
England Northern Premier League
0-3 0-3 41 L
28/03 Hednesford
England Northern Premier League
3-0 W

Redcar Athletic

WWWWWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Bury
England Northern Premier League
0-0 0-0 24 D
01/08 Morpeth Town
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-0 W
14/07 Hartlepool
UK Friendlies
1-2 2-4 62 L
11/07 Darlington 1883
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-4 60 L
08/07 Middlesbrough U23
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
25/03 Matlock Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 4-2 31 W
14/03 Ossett United
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-2 63 W
11/03 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 42 W
25/02 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-0 76 W
20/01 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 100 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Workington vs Redcar Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Redcar Athletic win (38%). Probabilities: Workington 35%, draw 27%, Redcar Athletic 38%.

How many goals are expected in Workington vs Redcar Athletic?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Workington 1.36 · Redcar Athletic 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Workington vs Redcar Athletic?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.