Prediction: Bury vs Curzon Ashton
Team pages: Bury · Curzon Ashton
| Bury | Draw | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bury (rating 1540 vs 1468).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bury | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.3 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Warrington Rylands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Whitby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Curzon Ashton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilkeston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Emley AFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Bury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hyde Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Leek Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Quorn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Alfreton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Workington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lancaster City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bury | Curzon Ashton |
|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe FC | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Chorley | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Clitheroe | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bury (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Radcliffe FC UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Accrington Stanley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Morecambe Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Elton Vale FC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Chorley Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Clitheroe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Bootle England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Curzon Ashton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Irlam Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Clitheroe UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Alfreton Town England National League North |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Chorley England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Southport England National League North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bury vs Curzon Ashton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bury win (44%). Probabilities: Bury 44%, draw 27%, Curzon Ashton 29%.
How many goals are expected in Bury vs Curzon Ashton?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Bury 1.5 · Curzon Ashton 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bury vs Curzon Ashton?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.