Football · England Northern Premier League · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: FC United of Manchester vs Leek Town
Team pages: FC United of Manchester · Leek Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
FC United of Manchester1.57
Leek Town0.95
1X2
FC United of Manchester
Draw
Leek Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC United of Manchester
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Leek Town
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC United of Manchester
3–1
Leek Town
(4 last)
- Leek Town0-1FC United of Manchester
- FC United of Manchester2-0Leek Town
- FC United of Manchester2-5Leek Town
- Leek Town1-2FC United of Manchester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC United of Manchester 1476 · Leek Town 1519
| FC United of Manchester | Draw | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leek Town (rating 1476 vs 1519).
- H2H favours FC United of Manchester: 3-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC United of Manchester | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/13/38% | 38/63/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC United of Manchester 3–0–1 Leek Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 England Northern Premier League | Leek Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC United of Manchester |
| 09/08/25 England Northern Premier League | FC United of Manchester | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Leek Town |
| 15/03/25 England Northern Premier League | FC United of Manchester | 2-5 | Leek Town |
| 09/11/24 England Northern Premier League | Leek Town | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC United of Manchester |
Standings · England Northern Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Warrington Rylands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Avro FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Whitby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Curzon Ashton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilkeston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Emley AFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Bury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hyde Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Redcar Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Leek Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Quorn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Alfreton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Workington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Lancaster City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | FC United of Manchester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC United of Manchester | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Runcorn Linnets | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC United of Manchester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 20/07 | Trafford Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Salford City UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Rochdale UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Runcorn Linnets UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Bradford UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/04 | Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Ilkeston England Northern Premier League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Leek Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Runcorn Linnets UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Stalybridge UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Kidsgrove Ath UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Stafford Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/07 | Abbey Hulton United Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Winsford United Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Workington England Northern Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Whitby England Northern Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC United of Manchester vs Leek Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC United of Manchester win (51%). Probabilities: FC United of Manchester 51%, draw 26%, Leek Town 22%.
How many goals are expected in FC United of Manchester vs Leek Town?
The model expects 2.51 goals (FC United of Manchester 1.57 · Leek Town 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC United of Manchester vs Leek Town?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.