Football · Qatar Stars League · 22/08, 16:15

Prediction: Al Duhail vs Al Sailiya SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Al Duhail2.22

Al Sailiya SC1.04

1X2

63% 21% 16%

Al Duhail Draw Al Sailiya SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Duhail 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDWWL

Al Sailiya SC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDLWLL

Head-to-head

Al Duhail 3–3–0 Al Sailiya SC (6 last)

Al Sailiya SC0-4Al Duhail
Al Duhail2-2Al Sailiya SC
Al Duhail4-2Al Sailiya SC
Al Sailiya SC2-2Al Duhail
Al Sailiya SC1-3Al Duhail
Al Duhail1-1Al Sailiya SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Duhail 1533 · Al Sailiya SC 1451

	Al Duhail	Draw	Al Sailiya SC
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Duhail (rating 1533 vs 1451).
H2H favours Al Duhail: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Duhail	Al Sailiya SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	22/22/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.20

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.85 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.56

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:54 +7’	1.42	4.20	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:00 +1’	1.37	4.85	6.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Duhail 3–3–0 Al Sailiya SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/26 Qatar Stars League	Al Sailiya SC	0-4 HT 0-1	Al Duhail
08/11/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	2-2 HT 2-0	Al Sailiya SC
05/05/25 Qatar Emir Cup	Al Duhail	4-2 HT 4-0	Al Sailiya SC
10/04/23 Qatar Emir Cup	Al Sailiya SC	2-2 HT 1-1	Al Duhail
01/04/23 Qatar Stars League	Al Sailiya SC	1-3 HT 1-0	Al Duhail
13/09/22 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	1-1 HT 0-0	Al Sailiya SC

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al-Ahli Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Arabi Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Duhail	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Gharafa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Rayyan SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Sadd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Shahaniya SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Wakrah SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Sailiya SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Shamal SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lusail	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Qatar SC Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Duhail	Al Sailiya SC
Al Sadd	1-4 L	1-3 L
Al-Arabi Doha	4-0 W	2-1 W
Al-Ahli Doha	1-2 L	2-2 D
Al Gharafa	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Sailiya SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al Duhail

DLWWWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/05	Al Sadd Qatar Emir Cup	0-2	1-4	4	7	L
01/05	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Emir Cup	2-0	4-0	0	4	W
27/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/04	Al Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League Elite	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
08/04	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
04/04	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	2-2	3-2	3	5	W
17/03	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	3-1	8	5	W
12/03	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/02	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-3	4	2	L
21/02	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D

Al Sailiya SC

WLLLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Sharjah SCC World Club Friendlies	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/04	Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	1-3	1	2	L
13/04	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	2-0	2-1	4	11	W
08/04	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
03/04	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-2	2-2	4	1	D
18/03	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	2-0	3-2	2	15	W
12/03	Al Duhail Qatar Stars League	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
20/02	Umm Salal Qatar Stars League	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
12/02	Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Emir Cup	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
05/02	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Duhail vs Al Sailiya SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Duhail win (63%). Probabilities: Al Duhail 63%, draw 21%, Al Sailiya SC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Al Duhail vs Al Sailiya SC?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Al Duhail 2.22 · Al Sailiya SC 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Duhail vs Al Sailiya SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.