Football · Qatar Stars League · 29/08, 16:15

Prediction: Al Duhail vs Al-Arabi Doha

Team pages: Al Duhail · Al-Arabi Doha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Al Duhail2.07

Al-Arabi Doha1.54

1X2

49% 24% 28%

Al Duhail Draw Al-Arabi Doha

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Duhail 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWWLWW

Al-Arabi Doha 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDLLD

Head-to-head

Al Duhail 4–1–1 Al-Arabi Doha (6 last)

Al Duhail4-0Al-Arabi Doha
Al Duhail1-1Al-Arabi Doha
Al Duhail0-4Al-Arabi Doha
Al-Arabi Doha1-8Al Duhail
Al Duhail1-0Al-Arabi Doha
Al Duhail2-1Al-Arabi Doha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Duhail 1535 · Al-Arabi Doha 1463

	Al Duhail	Draw	Al-Arabi Doha
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Duhail (rating 1535 vs 1463).
H2H favours Al Duhail: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Duhail	Al-Arabi Doha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.93
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	3.70 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.53

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:06 +4’	1.73	3.75	3.70
02:23 +5’	1.83▲	3.70▼	3.40▼
10:22 +5’	1.90▲	3.60▼	3.20▼
14:45 +3’	1.85▼	3.70▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:08 +2’	1.77	3.85	3.88
00:27 +1’	1.90▲	3.84▼	3.54▼
04:47 +2’	1.93▲	3.92▲	3.60▲
10:23 +4’	2.00▲	3.84▼	3.44▼
14:30 +17’	1.93▼	3.98▲	3.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Duhail 4–1–1 Al-Arabi Doha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Qatar Emir Cup	Al Duhail	4-0 HT 2-0	Al-Arabi Doha
21/02/26 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	1-1 HT 0-1	Al-Arabi Doha
19/10/25 Qatar Stars Cup	Al Duhail	0-4 HT 0-2	Al-Arabi Doha
20/09/25 Qatar Stars League	Al-Arabi Doha	1-8 HT 1-4	Al Duhail
11/04/25 Qatar Stars League	Al Duhail	1-0 HT 1-0	Al-Arabi Doha
20/12/24 Qatar Stars Cup	Al Duhail	2-1 HT 2-0	Al-Arabi Doha

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Sadd	2	2	0	0	9	3	6
2	Al-Rayyan SC	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Al-Shamal SC	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
4	Al Duhail	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
5	Al-Shahaniya SC	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
6	Al Gharafa	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
7	Al-Arabi Doha	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
8	Al-Wakrah SC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
8	Lusail	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
10	Al-Ahli Doha	2	0	1	1	4	6	1
11	Qatar SC Doha	2	0	1	1	4	8	1
12	Al Sailiya SC	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Duhail	Al-Arabi Doha
Al Sailiya SC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Qatar SC Doha	2-1 W	1-1 D
Al-Ahli Doha	1-2 L	1-1 D
Al-Shamal SC	3-1 W	2-2 D
Al Sadd	1-3 L	2-1 W
Umm Salal	1-2 L	4-2 W
Al-Rayyan SC	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al Duhail (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Duhail

DLDLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
27/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
08/04	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
04/04	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	2-2	3-2	3	5	W
17/03	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	3-1	8	5	W
12/03	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/02	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-3	4	2	L
21/02	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
04/02	Umm Salal Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
30/01	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	1-1	1-1	6	6	D

Al-Arabi Doha

WLDDWWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-2	8	7	D
27/04	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
13/04	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	1-2	7	11	L
08/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
03/04	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/03	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-1	8	6	W
13/03	Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
21/02	Al Duhail Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
05/02	Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	1-2	7	9	L
29/01	Umm Salal Qatar Stars League	1-0	4-2	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Duhail vs Al-Arabi Doha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Duhail win (49%). Probabilities: Al Duhail 49%, draw 24%, Al-Arabi Doha 28%.

How many goals are expected in Al Duhail vs Al-Arabi Doha?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Al Duhail 2.07 · Al-Arabi Doha 1.54), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Duhail vs Al-Arabi Doha?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.