Football · Qatar Stars League · 21/08, 18:30

Prediction: Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Shamal SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Al-Arabi Doha1.55

Al-Shamal SC1.87

1X2

31% 24% 45%

Al-Arabi Doha Draw Al-Shamal SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Arabi Doha 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Al-Shamal SC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Al-Arabi Doha 2–4 Al-Shamal SC (6 last)

Al-Arabi Doha1-2Al-Shamal SC
Al-Arabi Doha0-3Al-Shamal SC
Al-Shamal SC3-2Al-Arabi Doha
Al-Shamal SC3-1Al-Arabi Doha
Al-Arabi Doha1-0Al-Shamal SC
Al-Arabi Doha3-0Al-Shamal SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Shamal SC (rating 1428 vs 1531).
H2H favours Al-Shamal SC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Arabi Doha	Al-Shamal SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.4	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.86

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.77 → 2.77	Pinn 2.77
X	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73
2	2.29 → 2.29	Pinn 2.29

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:04 +2’	2.77	3.73	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Arabi Doha 2–0–4 Al-Shamal SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/26 Qatar Stars League	Al-Arabi Doha	1-2 HT 0-1	Al-Shamal SC
14/11/25 Qatar Stars Cup	Al-Arabi Doha	0-3 HT 0-2	Al-Shamal SC
13/09/25 Qatar Stars League	Al-Shamal SC	3-2 HT 1-1	Al-Arabi Doha
07/05/25 Qatar Emir Cup	Al-Shamal SC	3-1 HT 1-1	Al-Arabi Doha
08/03/25 Qatar Stars League	Al-Arabi Doha	1-0 HT 0-0	Al-Shamal SC
16/11/24 Qatar Stars Cup	Al-Arabi Doha	3-0 HT 0-0	Al-Shamal SC

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al-Ahli Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Arabi Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Duhail	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Gharafa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Rayyan SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Sadd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Shahaniya SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Wakrah SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Sailiya SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al-Shamal SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lusail	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Qatar SC Doha	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Arabi Doha	Al-Shamal SC
Al Duhail	0-4 L	1-3 L
Qatar SC Doha	1-1 D	3-0 W
Al-Shahaniya SC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Shamal SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al-Arabi Doha

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Malaga World Club Friendlies	1-1	2-4	1	3	L
05/08	Antequera Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Al Fateh SC World Club Friendlies	2-0	2-1	2	1	W
27/07	Neom SC World Club Friendlies	0-3	1-4	0	0	L
01/05	Al Duhail Qatar Emir Cup	0-2	0-4	8	4	L
27/04	Al-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
13/04	Al Sailiya SC Qatar Stars League	0-2	1-2	7	11	L
08/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
03/04	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/03	Al-Mu'aidar Qatar Stars Cup	1-3	3-3	7	6	D

Al-Shamal SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/05	Al Sadd Qatar Emir Cup	1-4	4-6	3	6	L
27/04	Al Sadd Qatar Stars League	0-2	2-3	5	7	L
13/04	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League	0-2	3-0	10	9	W
08/04	Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
04/04	Umm Salal Qatar Stars League	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
17/03	Al Duhail Qatar Stars League	1-0	1-3	6	5	L
12/03	Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/02	Al Gharafa Qatar Stars League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/02	Qatar SC Doha Qatar Emir Cup	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/02	Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League	1-0	2-1	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Shamal SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Shamal SC win (45%). Probabilities: Al-Arabi Doha 31%, draw 24%, Al-Shamal SC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Shamal SC?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Al-Arabi Doha 1.55 · Al-Shamal SC 1.87), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Arabi Doha vs Al-Shamal SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.