Football · Qatar Stars League · 21/08, 16:15

Prediction: Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Al Gharafa1.81
Al-Shahaniya SC1.27
1X2
49% 25% 26%
Al Gharafa Draw Al-Shahaniya SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Gharafa 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDDWDWLD
Al-Shahaniya SC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLWDWL
Head-to-head
Al Gharafa 2–2–2 Al-Shahaniya SC (6 last)
  • Al Gharafa1-1Al-Shahaniya SC
  • Al-Shahaniya SC3-0Al Gharafa
  • Al Gharafa1-2Al-Shahaniya SC
  • Al-Shahaniya SC2-4Al Gharafa
  • Al-Shahaniya SC3-3Al Gharafa
  • Al-Shahaniya SC1-2Al Gharafa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Gharafa 1458 · Al-Shahaniya SC 1498
Al GharafaDrawAl-Shahaniya SC
Our model49%25%26%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Shahaniya SC (rating 1458 vs 1498).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.91.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.51.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.14.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Gharafa 222 Al-Shahaniya SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Qatar Stars League
Al Gharafa1-1
HT 0-0
Al-Shahaniya SC
27/12/25
Qatar Stars League
Al-Shahaniya SC3-0
HT 2-0
Al Gharafa
18/04/25
Qatar Stars League
Al Gharafa1-2
HT 1-2
Al-Shahaniya SC
08/12/24
Qatar Stars League
Al-Shahaniya SC2-4
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
09/04/23
Qatar Emir Cup
Al-Shahaniya SC3-3
HT 2-0
Al Gharafa
20/04/21
Qatar Cup
Al-Shahaniya SC1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa

Standings · Qatar Stars League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Al-Ahli Doha 000 000
1 Al-Arabi Doha 000 000
1 Al Duhail 000 000
1 Al Gharafa 000 000
1 Al-Rayyan SC 000 000
1 Al Sadd 000 000
1 Al-Shahaniya SC 000 000
1 Al-Wakrah SC 000 000
1 Al Sailiya SC 000 000
1 Al-Shamal SC 000 000
1 Lusail 000 000
1 Qatar SC Doha 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl GharafaAl-Shahaniya SC
Al-Ahli Doha 1-4 L 2-1 W
Qatar SC Doha 0-2 L 3-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al-Shahaniya SC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Gharafa

LLLDDWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Al Riyadh
World Club Friendlies
0-1 2-2 30 D
19/07 STK Samorin
World Club Friendlies
1-1 1-2 42 L
09/05 Al Sadd
Qatar Emir Cup
2-0 4-1 22 W
05/05 Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar Emir Cup
0-0 0-0 63 D
01/05 Umm Salal
Qatar Emir Cup
2-1 2-1 23 W
27/04 Al-Shahaniya SC
Qatar Stars League
0-0 1-1 35 D
08/04 Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar Stars League
1-1 3-3 73 D
04/04 Al Duhail
Qatar Stars League
2-2 2-3 15 L
18/03 Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar Stars League
1-0 1-4 34 L
12/03 Qatar SC Doha
Qatar Stars League
0-1 0-2 410 L

Al-Shahaniya SC

LWWLLLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Marseille
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 0-3 31 L
08/05 Al Kharaitiyat SC
Qatar Stars League Play-Offs
1-0 3-0 66 W
27/04 Al Gharafa
Qatar Stars League
0-0 1-1 25 D
08/04 Al-Shamal SC
Qatar Stars League
1-0 2-0 05 W
03/04 Al-Arabi Doha
Qatar Stars League
0-0 0-2 63 L
24/03 Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar Stars Cup
0-1 0-3 22 L
18/03 Al Sailiya SC
Qatar Stars League
0-2 2-3 615 L
13/03 Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar Stars League
1-1 2-1 44 W
27/02 Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar Stars League
0-0 2-1 35 W
20/02 Qatar SC Doha
Qatar Stars League
2-0 3-4 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Gharafa win (49%). Probabilities: Al Gharafa 49%, draw 25%, Al-Shahaniya SC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Al Gharafa 1.81 · Al-Shahaniya SC 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Gharafa vs Al-Shahaniya SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.