Football · Qatar Stars League · 20/08, 18:30
Prediction: Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Al-Rayyan SC2.67
Lusail1.04
1X2
Al-Rayyan SC
Draw
Lusail
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Rayyan SC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Lusail
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al-Rayyan SC
2–0
Lusail
(2 last)
- Al-Rayyan SC5-2Lusail
- Al-Rayyan SC4-2Lusail
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al-Rayyan SC 1544 · Lusail 1475
| Al-Rayyan SC | Draw | Lusail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Rayyan SC (rating 1544 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Al-Rayyan SC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Rayyan SC | Lusail | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Rayyan SC 2–0–0 Lusail
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Qatar Stars Cup | Al-Rayyan SC | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Lusail |
| 05/05/25 Qatar Emir Cup | Al-Rayyan SC | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Lusail |
Standings · Qatar Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ahli Doha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Arabi Doha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Duhail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Gharafa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Sadd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Shahaniya SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Wakrah SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Sailiya SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Shamal SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lusail | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Qatar SC Doha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Rayyan SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Leganes World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Rochdale World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 01/05 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Emir Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 27/04 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Al Shabab Riyadh Gulf Club Champions League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Al Qadsia SC Gulf Club Champions League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 15/04 | Al-Mu'aidar Qatar Stars Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/04 | Umm Salal Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Al Sadd Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Umm Salal Qatar Stars Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
Lusail
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FC Dordrecht World Club Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Al Bidda SC Qatar League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Al Markhiya Qatar League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Al Mesaimeer SC Qatar League 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Al Kharaitiyat SC Qatar League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Al-Mu'aidar Qatar League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 08/02 | Al-Khor SC Qatar League 2 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 03/02 | Al Waab FC Qatar League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 21/01 | Al Bidda SC Qatar Stars Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 10/01 | Al Waab FC Qatar Emir Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Rayyan SC win (71%). Probabilities: Al-Rayyan SC 71%, draw 18%, Lusail 11%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail?
The model expects 3.71 goals (Al-Rayyan SC 2.67 · Lusail 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.