Football · Germany Bundesliga Women · 02/10, 18:30
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)
Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen (W) · Werder Bremen (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Bayer Leverkusen (W)1.8
Werder Bremen (W)1.02
1X2
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Draw
Werder Bremen (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Werder Bremen (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
1–1–4
Werder Bremen (W)
(6 last)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)1-3Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)1-0Bayer Leverkusen (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)6-0Werder Bremen (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)0-1Werder Bremen (W)
- Werder Bremen (W)1-1Bayer Leverkusen (W)
- Bayer Leverkusen (W)2-3Werder Bremen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1580 · Werder Bremen (W) 1553
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Draw | Werder Bremen (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Werder Bremen (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Werder Bremen (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.2 / 8 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1–1–4 Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 12/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) |
| 16/03/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 12/02/25 Germany DFB Pokal Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
| 12/10/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Werder Bremen (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) |
| 20/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Werder Bremen (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Cologne (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Freiburg (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Berlin (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | Werder Bremen (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich (W) | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Wolfsburg (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hamburger SV (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayer Leverkusen (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bayer Leverkusen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 18 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | SGS Essen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Werder Bremen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Hamburger SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wolfsburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Mainz (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Carl Zeiss Jena (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bayer Leverkusen (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen (W) 55%, draw 24%, Werder Bremen (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Bayer Leverkusen (W) 1.8 · Werder Bremen (W) 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.