Prediction: Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)

Team pages: Wolfsburg (W) · Hamburger SV (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Wolfsburg (W)2.81
Hamburger SV (W)0.81
1X2
82% 12% 6%
Wolfsburg (W) Draw Hamburger SV (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolfsburg (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWWWWL
Hamburger SV (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDLDLW
Head-to-head
Wolfsburg (W) 1–1–0 Hamburger SV (W) (2 last)
  • Wolfsburg (W)3-1Hamburger SV (W)
  • Hamburger SV (W)3-3Wolfsburg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsburg (W) 1632 · Hamburger SV (W) 1455
Wolfsburg (W)DrawHamburger SV (W)
Our model78%15%7%
Market85%10%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsburg (W) (rating 1632 vs 1455).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wolfsburg (W)Hamburger SV (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.51.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.91.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.24.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsburg (W) 1–1–0 Hamburger SV (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/12/25
Germany Bundesliga Women
Wolfsburg (W)3-1
HT 0-0
Hamburger SV (W)
07/09/25
Germany Bundesliga Women
Hamburger SV (W)3-3
HT 1-2
Wolfsburg (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bayern Munich (W) 5500 18615
2 Eintracht Frankfurt (W) 5410 11513
3 Wolfsburg (W) 5401 16712
4 Werder Bremen (W) 5311 8510
5 FC Cologne (W) 5302 1079
6 Bayer Leverkusen (W) 5302 979
7 VfB Stuttgart (W) 5221 888
8 Freiburg (W) 5212 777
9 Hamburger SV (W) 5122 865
10 RB Leipzig (W) 5113 594
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) 5104 6103
12 Union Berlin (W) 5104 4113
13 Nurnberg (W) 5023 8192
14 Mainz (W) 5005 3140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWolfsburg (W)Hamburger SV (W)
VfB Stuttgart (W) 2-0 W 1-2 L
Werder Bremen (W) 3-2 W 0-1 L
Bayer Leverkusen (W) 2-1 W 1-3 L
Nurnberg (W) 8-2 W 5-1 W
Freiburg (W) 4-2 W 1-1 D
RB Leipzig (W) 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wolfsburg (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsburg (W)

DLWWWWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 1-2 123 L
13/09 VfB Stuttgart (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-0 2-0 53 W
06/09 Werder Bremen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 3-2 43 W
30/08 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-0 2-1 71 W
22/08 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-2 8-2 –– W
17/05 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
2-0 3-1 92 W
09/05 Freiburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
2-1 4-2 42 W
02/05 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 3-2 42 W
26/04 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-2 1-3 34 L
22/04 Werder Bremen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-0 55 D

Hamburger SV (W)

LWLLLDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
3-0 5-1 55 W
11/09 Werder Bremen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-1 62 L
05/09 RB Leipzig (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-1 16 D
29/08 VfB Stuttgart (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-2 66 L
23/08 Freiburg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 1-1 –– D
17/05 Bayern Munich (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
09/05 FC Cologne (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-1 1-2 55 L
01/05 Union Berlin (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 0-1 56 L
24/04 Nurnberg (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
0-0 1-0 75 W
30/03 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
Germany Bundesliga Women
1-1 1-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsburg (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Wolfsburg (W) 82%, draw 12%, Hamburger SV (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Wolfsburg (W) 2.81 · Hamburger SV (W) 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.