Prediction: Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)
Team pages: Wolfsburg (W) · Hamburger SV (W)
- Wolfsburg (W)3-1Hamburger SV (W)
- Hamburger SV (W)3-3Wolfsburg (W)
| Wolfsburg (W) | Draw | Hamburger SV (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsburg (W) (rating 1632 vs 1455).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolfsburg (W) | Hamburger SV (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsburg (W) 1–1–0 Hamburger SV (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Wolfsburg (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Hamburger SV (W) |
| 07/09/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Hamburger SV (W) | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Wolfsburg (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Cologne (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Freiburg (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Berlin (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Nurnberg (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wolfsburg (W) | Hamburger SV (W) |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Werder Bremen (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Bayer Leverkusen (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Nurnberg (W) | 8-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Freiburg (W) | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| RB Leipzig (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Wolfsburg (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolfsburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eintracht Frankfurt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Hamburger SV (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Werder Bremen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | RB Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | VfB Stuttgart (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Freiburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Bayern Munich (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Cologne (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Union Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Nurnberg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 30/03 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsburg (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Wolfsburg (W) 82%, draw 12%, Hamburger SV (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Wolfsburg (W) 2.81 · Hamburger SV (W) 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolfsburg (W) vs Hamburger SV (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

