Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 16/09, 20:00

Prediction: F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng

Team pages: F91 Dudelange · UN Kaerjeng

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

F91 Dudelange1.81

UN Kaerjeng1.2

1X2

51% 25% 25%

F91 Dudelange Draw UN Kaerjeng

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

F91 Dudelange 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWWLD

UN Kaerjeng 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

F91 Dudelange 4–1–1 UN Kaerjeng (6 last)

UN Kaerjeng2-0F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange1-0UN Kaerjeng
UN Kaerjeng2-3F91 Dudelange
UN Kaerjeng2-2F91 Dudelange
F91 Dudelange4-1UN Kaerjeng
F91 Dudelange4-0UN Kaerjeng

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · F91 Dudelange 1506 · UN Kaerjeng 1524

	F91 Dudelange	Draw	UN Kaerjeng
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours F91 Dudelange: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	F91 Dudelange	UN Kaerjeng
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	3.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +6’	1.75	3.70	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · F91 Dudelange 4–1–1 UN Kaerjeng

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Europe Friendlies	UN Kaerjeng	2-0 HT 1-0	F91 Dudelange
08/02/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	1-0 HT 0-0	UN Kaerjeng
09/08/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	UN Kaerjeng	2-3 HT 1-0	F91 Dudelange
03/03/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	UN Kaerjeng	2-2 HT 1-2	F91 Dudelange
03/09/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	4-1 HT 3-0	UN Kaerjeng
30/04/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale	F91 Dudelange	4-0 HT 1-0	UN Kaerjeng

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	6	6	0	0	13	1	18
2	FC 03 Differdange	7	6	0	1	16	5	18
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	6	6	0	0	14	7	18
4	Union Luxembourg	7	5	1	1	21	8	16
5	Progres Niedercorn	7	5	0	2	13	5	15
6	UN Kaerjeng	7	4	0	3	19	13	12
7	US Hostert	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
8	Residence Walferdange	6	3	0	3	11	9	9
9	Bissen	6	3	0	3	8	9	9
10	F91 Dudelange	7	2	1	4	6	11	7
11	Jeunesse Esch	7	2	0	5	13	16	6
12	Rumelange	6	2	0	4	8	15	6
13	Wiltz	7	1	1	5	12	18	4
14	Victoria Rosport	7	1	1	5	10	19	4
15	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	7	1	1	5	5	14	4
16	Swift Hesperange	6	0	0	6	2	24	-12

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	F91 Dudelange	UN Kaerjeng
US Hostert	0-0 D	4-2 W
Union Luxembourg	1-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

F91 Dudelange

LDWLLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-3	7	7	L
30/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
23/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
16/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
09/08	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/08	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
23/05	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	4-2	2	3	W
17/05	UNA Strassen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-3	8	4	L

UN Kaerjeng

WLLLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	4-0	5-0	5	5	W
06/09	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	1-4	8	3	L
30/08	Swift Hesperange Luxembourg Division Nationale	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/08	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
09/08	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-1	4-2	2	7	W
02/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-4	1-5	6	3	L
23/05	Jeunesse Esch Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	FC 03 Differdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
10/05	Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng?

According to our model, the most likely result is a F91 Dudelange win (51%). Probabilities: F91 Dudelange 51%, draw 25%, UN Kaerjeng 25%.

How many goals are expected in F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng?

The model expects 3.02 goals (F91 Dudelange 1.81 · UN Kaerjeng 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.