Football · Luxembourg Division Nationale · 16/09, 20:00

Prediction: FC 03 Differdange vs Swift Hesperange

Team pages: FC 03 Differdange · Swift Hesperange

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

FC 03 Differdange2.86

Swift Hesperange1.05

1X2

74% 16% 10%

FC 03 Differdange Draw Swift Hesperange

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC 03 Differdange 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWWW

Swift Hesperange 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC 03 Differdange 4–2–0 Swift Hesperange (6 last)

Swift Hesperange1-5FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange3-0Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange0-2FC 03 Differdange
FC 03 Differdange0-0Swift Hesperange
FC 03 Differdange2-0Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange1-1FC 03 Differdange

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC 03 Differdange (rating 1598 vs 1382).
H2H favours FC 03 Differdange: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC 03 Differdange	Swift Hesperange
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	0.8 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.6	1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.83

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.03
X	15.66 → 15.66	Pinn 15.66
2	34.18 → 34.18	Pinn 34.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:55 +103’	1.03	15.66	34.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC 03 Differdange 4–2–0 Swift Hesperange

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Swift Hesperange	1-5 HT 0-4	FC 03 Differdange
19/10/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	3-0 HT 0-0	Swift Hesperange
16/03/25 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Swift Hesperange	0-2 HT 0-0	FC 03 Differdange
22/09/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	0-0 HT 0-0	Swift Hesperange
20/04/24 Luxembourg Division Nationale	FC 03 Differdange	2-0 HT 0-0	Swift Hesperange
05/11/23 Luxembourg Division Nationale	Swift Hesperange	1-1 HT 1-0	FC 03 Differdange

Standings · Luxembourg Division Nationale

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	7	7	0	0	15	2	21
2	FC 03 Differdange	7	6	0	1	16	5	18
3	US Mondorf-Les-Bains	7	6	0	1	15	9	18
4	Union Luxembourg	7	5	1	1	21	8	16
5	Progres Niedercorn	7	5	0	2	13	5	15
6	UN Kaerjeng	7	4	0	3	19	13	12
7	Bissen	7	4	0	3	14	9	12
7	Residence Walferdange	7	4	0	3	14	9	12
9	US Hostert	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
10	F91 Dudelange	7	2	1	4	6	11	7
11	Jeunesse Esch	7	2	0	5	13	16	6
12	Rumelange	7	2	0	5	8	21	6
13	Wiltz	7	1	1	5	12	18	4
14	Victoria Rosport	7	1	1	5	10	19	4
15	FC Etzella Ettelbruck	7	1	1	5	5	14	4
16	Swift Hesperange	7	0	0	7	2	27	-12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC 03 Differdange	Swift Hesperange
FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1-0 W	0-3 L
UN Kaerjeng	4-1 W	0-6 L
US Hostert	2-0 W	0-2 L
Union Luxembourg	3-0 W	0-5 L
Wiltz	2-1 W	2-7 L
Rumelange	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC 03 Differdange (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC 03 Differdange

WWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	1-0	9	7	W
06/09	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	4-1	6	3	W
30/08	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	2-0	2-0	11	2	W
23/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	2-1	13	9	W
09/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
02/08	US Mondorf-Les-Bains Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Bissen Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
17/05	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/05	Progres Niedercorn Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	3-2	6	9	W

Swift Hesperange

LWWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Residence Walferdange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
06/09	FC Etzella Ettelbruck Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
30/08	UN Kaerjeng Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
23/08	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	Union Luxembourg Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-5	–	–	L
09/08	Wiltz Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-6	2-7	2	5	L
02/08	Rumelange Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	UT Petange Luxembourg Division Nationale	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/05	Victoria Rosport Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	3-0	1	1	W
10/05	US Hostert Luxembourg Division Nationale	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC 03 Differdange vs Swift Hesperange?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC 03 Differdange win (74%). Probabilities: FC 03 Differdange 74%, draw 16%, Swift Hesperange 10%.

How many goals are expected in FC 03 Differdange vs Swift Hesperange?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FC 03 Differdange 2.86 · Swift Hesperange 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC 03 Differdange vs Swift Hesperange?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.