Football · Thailand Premier League · 07/11, 12:30
Prediction: Uthai Thani FC vs Chiangrai Utd
Team pages: Uthai Thani FC · Chiangrai Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Uthai Thani FC1.43
Chiangrai Utd0.9
1X2
Uthai Thani FC
Draw
Chiangrai Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Uthai Thani FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Chiangrai Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Uthai Thani FC
1–2–3
Chiangrai Utd
(6 last)
- Chiangrai Utd1-0Uthai Thani FC
- Uthai Thani FC1-1Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd1-0Uthai Thani FC
- Uthai Thani FC3-0Chiangrai Utd
- Uthai Thani FC1-1Chiangrai Utd
- Chiangrai Utd3-0Uthai Thani FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uthai Thani FC 1482 · Chiangrai Utd 1488
| Uthai Thani FC | Draw | Chiangrai Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chiangrai Utd: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uthai Thani FC | Chiangrai Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Uthai Thani FC 1–2–3 Chiangrai Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 17/08/25 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 15/02/25 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Uthai Thani FC |
| 29/09/24 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 11/02/24 Thailand Premier League | Uthai Thani FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chiangrai Utd |
| 19/08/23 Thailand Premier League | Chiangrai Utd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Uthai Thani FC |
Standings · Thailand Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Ayutthaya United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Prachuap FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Buriram United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Uthai Thani FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Lamphun Warrior FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
| 12 | Rayong FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 13 | Pattani FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Chonburi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chiangrai Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rasi Salai United | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Uthai Thani FC | Chiangrai Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Bangkok United | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Lamphun Warrior FC | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Prachuap FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chiangrai Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uthai Thani FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Sukhothai FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Rayong FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Rasi Salai United Thailand Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Ayutthaya United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Pattani FC Thailand Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Chiangrai Utd Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Chiangrai Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | BG Pathum United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Prachuap FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Sisaket United Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Buriram United Thailand Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Chonburi Thailand Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Uthai Thani FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Lamphun Warrior FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Ratchaburi FC Thailand Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Bangkok United Thailand Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uthai Thani FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Uthai Thani FC win (49%). Probabilities: Uthai Thani FC 49%, draw 28%, Chiangrai Utd 23%.
How many goals are expected in Uthai Thani FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Uthai Thani FC 1.43 · Chiangrai Utd 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Uthai Thani FC vs Chiangrai Utd?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.